Public Policy Polling (PDF) (3/24-27, Mississippi voters, no trendlines)
Johnny DuPree (D): 25
Phil Bryant (R): 56
Undecided: 19
Bill Luckett (D): 27
Phil Bryant (R): 53
Undecided: 20
Johnny DuPree (D): 28
Dave Dennis (R): 41
Undecided: 31
Bill Luckett (D): 25
Dave Dennis (R): 43
Undecided: 32
Johnny DuPree (D): 28
Hudson Holliday (R): 37
Undecided: 35
Bill Luckett (D): 28
Hudson Holliday (R): 38
Undecided: 34
(MoE: ±3.4%)
The 2011 gubernatorial race doesn't look to be much of a challenge for the Republicans to hold; neither Dem nominee, either Hattiesburg mayor Johnny Dupree or businessman and Morgan Freeman chum Bill Luckett, comes anywhere close. (If you're wondering why they didn't poll anyone stronger, nobody else is coming; the field is already closed.) The Republican primary -- between Lt. Gov. Phil Bryant, whom I expect is the favorite based on being the only of the five candidates with name rec over 50% or positive favorables (32/27), businessman Dave Dennis, and retired general and county commissioner Hudson Holliday -- is where the real action will be, but it doesn't seem like PPP polled the primaries.
Public Policy Polling (PDF) (3/24-27, Mississippi voters, no trendlines)
Travis Childers (D): 33
Roger Wicker (R-inc): 51
Undecided: 15
Jim Hood (D): 36
Roger Wicker (R-inc): 50
Undecided: 14
Mike Moore (D): 38
Roger Wicker (R-inc): 48
Undecided: 14
Ronnie Musgrove (D): 35
Roger Wicker (R-inc): 52
Undecided: 13
Gene Taylor (D): 36
Roger Wicker (R-inc): 48
Undecided: 17
(MoE: ±3.4%)
With no Dem challenger on the horizon for Roger Wicker (who beat ex-Gov. Ronnie Musgrove in 2008, after previously being appointed by Haley Barbour to succeed Trent Lott), PPP throws the entire Dem bench up at the low-profile Wicker and finds that nothing really sticks, as he has a pretty strong 51/23 approval, including 33/29 among Dems. If anything, it gives a relative sense of what Dems are best liked here... it's probably ex-AG Mike Moore, who polls within 10 and has 39/23 favorables. |
