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Where are college students and who represents them?

by: Angel Eyes

Wed Mar 23, 2011 at 12:33 AM EDT


I've been doing some research on college students and politics for my political action committee (and wrote up a post for our blog here)--since I don't know enough to contribute much to the discussions about redistricting, I thought I'd share what I've found. Maybe this is just pointless demographic trivia, but bear with me...

The district with the most college and graduate students - by far - is Mike Capuano's MA-08, which includes Harvard, MIT, and Tufts, to name a couple schools. College students make up 16.9% of the district; in no other district are they more than 14.3%.

The only other district with more than 100,000 college students is Jason Chaffetz's UT-03, which is expansive enough to include both Utah State Utah Valley University and BYU. Since UT-03 has been growing so rapidly, though, it ranks only 12th in the proportion of residents who are college students.

10 of the 25 districts with the most college students (as a percentage of residents) are represented by Republicans. Chaffetz's district is the only one among these that is totally hopeless for Democrats, although now that Chet Edwards is gone TX-17 probably falls into that category.

8 of the 10 districts with the fewest college students are represented by Republicans. Nine of those are in the Sun Belt; the district with the 10th fewest, Bill Shuster's PA-09, is the northern district with the fewest students. Gene Green is the Democrat representing the fewest college students, and Scott DesJarlais has the very fewest college constituents.

Not surprisingly, Republicans are much more likely to represent young people than college students. They hold 8 of the 10 districts with the largest proportion of 15-24 year-olds.

I'd started this project because I was curious about the districts of a couple of candidates that my political action committee had endorsed, only to watch them lose heartbreaking races. I figured that Mary Jo Kilroy and Tom Perriello--representing OSU and UVA--would figure high on the list. But it turns out that Kilroy's OH-15 is only 19th, while Perriello's VA-05 is all the way down at 136th. Of course, that doesn't mean that the dropoff in college turnout didn't contribute to their defeats. Anecdotally, at least, I've heard that UVA's turnout was terrible in 2010.

In any case: I'll be interested to see where some of these student populations end up after redistricting, since campuses are convenient blocs of low-leverage voters who can be shuffled around districts.

EDIT: Forgot to mention that my source is the American Communities Survey, available online here: http://fastfacts.census.gov/ho...

Angel Eyes :: Where are college students and who represents them?
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There is no such thing as pointless demographic trivia
But seeing the actual lists of districts you're referencing would be even more pointful :).

25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

It's available here
http://fastfacts.census.gov/ho...

But you can only look at one district at a time. I have all the data on a spreadsheet; is there an easy way for me to upload it? I have no idea how this works.

Students for a New American Politics: the largest student-run PAC in the country. Check us out at snappac.org/blog


[ Parent ]
Could you upload the spreadsheet to Google docs and post the link?


30, male, MI-11 (previously VA-08). Evangelical, postconservative, green.

[ Parent ]
Done
https://spreadsheets.google.co...

The columns are: district, % of the population aged 15-24, % of the population currently in high school, % of the population currently in college or graduate school, population, number of residents currently in high school, number of residents currently in college or graduate school.

Students for a New American Politics: the largest student-run PAC in the country. Check us out at snappac.org/blog


[ Parent ]
Ah, my beloved CA-53
Coming in just below my also-beloved-but-I've-spent-less-time-there MA-08.  I also belove my PA-02, at #2, but I don't think the rest of PA-02 beloves its college students.  

Side note: I am a bit annoyed when people write about how connecting UCSD and La Jolla to downtown San Diego instead of out into the suburbs is prima facie evidence of gerrymandering.  It seems just as likely to be a case of noncompact communities of interest to me.  After all, partisan affiliation is not an afterthought or an accident, and areas with similar partisanship might well be similar in other "community of interest" ways as well.  The world doesn't run on rectangles and circles alone.  But what do I know, I just lived there a few months.

25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)


[ Parent ]
*#7 (nt)


25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

[ Parent ]
Thanks!
Awesome work, and good on your PAC for letting you share it with us.

One suggestion, though. So far as I can tell, Columns B, C, and D are expressing the same sort of percentages, but they're formatted differently. Column B has two digits before the decimal, while C and D have a leading zero. Formatting them consistently would make the sheet easier to understand, especially if you formatted them as percentages. (IE, used the % punctuation mark.)

30, male, MI-11 (previously VA-08). Evangelical, postconservative, green.


[ Parent ]
Interesting to look at.
I think with OSU, since it's such a huge school and Columbus is split between two districts many of the students may be living in other districts.

Small correction: Chaffetz's district doesn't include Utah State.  Logan is in UT-01.

Are these Census numbers or voter registration numbers?  Many students are registered to vote in their hometown, not where they go to school.  (I never changed my voter registration when I went to college.)

26, white male, TX-24, liberal-leaning independent


My mistake
I meant Utah Valley University, which has 32,000+ undergrads and is in Orem.

The numbers are all from the American Communities Survey, so these are all numbers of residents, not registered voters. It'd be interesting to see how the numbers change if I looked at registered voters. Some of these districts (like Capuano's) have lots of elite private schools, which have high-SES students but also (I assume) more foreign-born students. So it's not clear whether districts like MA-08 would move up or down in the rankings.

I also wonder if college students in battleground states are more likely to be registered voters than students in safe districts like MA-08 once you control for things like SES and nationality.

Students for a New American Politics: the largest student-run PAC in the country. Check us out at snappac.org/blog


[ Parent ]
Even in Ivy Leagues, internationals are only
10-15% of the entire student population. Assuming you're looking at registered voters in general as opposed to registered voters in that district (since many students vote absentee), it might go up.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Yes, OSU is absolutely split
High Street (the campus "main drag") is the dividing line between the 15th and the 12th, and much of the off-campus student housing is in the 12th.

[ Parent ]
Interesting
That must make campus activism tougher. My school is solidly in one congressional district...but the state representative district lines are drawn right through the middle of campus, such that I changed districts when I moved off-campus this year, even though I only moved across the street.

Students for a New American Politics: the largest student-run PAC in the country. Check us out at snappac.org/blog

[ Parent ]
Wasn't Ohio gerrymandered in 2000?
That sounds like the kind of thing that would be done intentionally... splitting up all those students.

26, white male, TX-24, liberal-leaning independent

[ Parent ]
And similar to Austin, actually
Though I think most of the area around the UT campus is in the 25th, there are also probably some students who live in other districts.  Not like TX-17, which includes all of College Station (and also includes Baylor, FWIW.)

26, white male, TX-24, liberal-leaning independent

[ Parent ]
Another Big Ten school
My alma mater, The University of Minnesota is also split into two districts. This is mostly because the campus is so large that it actually has 3 complete campuses (same university, and students have classes at all 3), East Bank (Minneapolis), West Bank (Minneapolis too), and St. Paul campuses. This splits the University of Minnesota between MN-4 and MN-5, not that it makes much difference, as they are both Safe-DFL seats.

26 White Male. Born and raised in MN-8, currently living in MN-5.

"A man who stands for nothing will fall for anything."


[ Parent ]
Oregon State is also split
The campus is in Schrader's district but I think at least some of the off campus student housing is in DeFazio's district.

27, Dem, CA-39 (home), OR-04 (school)

[ Parent ]
I think Tufts University
is split between MA-07 and MA-08.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
and my very own UChicago
is overwhelmingly in the 1st but some students live in IL-02.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Hrm, my district (NY-22) appears to have roughly 8%
We've got Marist, Ithaca, SUNY Binghamton and SUNY New Paltz here.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

Surprised how low MA-03 is (#160)
Worcester has 10 colleges, although most are of the small variety. I guess this is numerical confirmation that Worcester will never be a college town.

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

Also Surprised
That's my home town, although I guess I have the numbers on why a reason people who don't live next to one of the schools (although you're never really far from at least one of them) don't tend to think of it as a college town.

You could probably never say that to anyone who lives down in South Worcester. Every month there seems to be a new article in either the Telegram or Worcester Magazine about various town vs. gown drama around Holy Cross.

Also, I had never thought of San Diego as a place with a lot of college students.  

36, M, Democrat, MD-03


[ Parent ]
Yeah, Holy Cross does not get along with its neighbors
The social scene there has shifted to the off-campus housing, which is mostly in the three-deckers on College Hill. This has led to an ugly combination of old townies in the houses that have been in their families since their grandparents came to America in 1890, and loud, out of control parties every weekend night. Not good.  

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

[ Parent ]
CA-53 contains
The University of California San Diego, San Diego State University, the University of San Diego, San Diego Community College and Point Loma Nazarene University.  The latter of which I found by accident walking along the beach.  Perhaps the most enviable location of any college I have ever been to.  The University of San Diego was apparently on some list of the most beautiful campuses, and indeed:

http://www.sandiego.edu/admiss...

Anyway, maybe other urban areas have their universities split up, and they're all crammed into CA-53.  

25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)


[ Parent ]
You can see the map here
http://www.govtrack.us/congres...

Such a shame if they split up such a beautiful if tentacled district for the sake of philistine compactness.

25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)


[ Parent ]
VA-05
The University of Virginia is the only sizable school in the current VA-05 so it doesn't surprise me that it's way down at 136th. However, there are a number of universities/colleges in the district such as Longwood, which is small but growing (around 5k overall), is in Farmville, VA, and in the district. I assume its the 2nd biggest after UVA, though it has 1/3 of UVA's undergrads and 1/4 of its total students. UVA is not that big of a school, though, with just 13k undergrads and 6k graduate students. Obviously, that's not small but it's not anywhere near Ohio State or University of Texas territory in terms of total enrollment (50k+).

24, male, Democrat, VA-06 (currently in Italy), went to school in VA-05


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