He's in...

But I still suspect he won't be the only one to jump in.

And now that he's in, at least one establishment GOPer and at least one teabagger will announce in NV-02. I'm wondering if Heller will be loyal to back fellow Carsonite Mark Amodei, or if he'll go along with possible frontrunner Brian Krolicki. We'll see who else wants to join Chuck Muth in singing Kirk Lippold's praises.

Yes, Virginia, there ARE progressives in Nevada!
24, gay male, Democrat, NV-03 (or 04?)

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by: atdleft @ Tue Mar 15, 2011 at 16:02:14 PM UTC

Doooooooooom! ®

 ® Doooooooooooom! is a tradmarked catch phrase of user leeatwater (RIP).

"Earnestness is stupidity sent to college"
P. J. O'Rourke

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by: notpjorourke @ Tue Mar 15, 2011 at 16:03:11 PM UTC

I gotta think that Heller makes it out of the primary right now.

The right could maybe beat him if they all united around a moronic candidate but it looks like it will be to split to me but anything can happen.

CO-02 (college)/FL-15 (home).  

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by: D in FL @ Tue Mar 15, 2011 at 16:29:12 PM UTC

But that's just it...

Anything CAN happen, especially here in Nevada, where the state GOP is more fractured than ever before. Teabaggers still haven't forgiven him for taking a pass on Reid last year, and most Clark County GOP primary voters don't really know him. Most voters haven't seen him on the ballot since 2002, and he's NEVER faced a competitive statewide election before. (He lucked out in 1998, when the Nevada Dems were so fucked up they couldn't even run an SoS candidate!)

Yes, Virginia, there ARE progressives in Nevada!
24, gay male, Democrat, NV-03 (or 04?)

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by: atdleft @ Tue Mar 15, 2011 at 16:46:51 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

heh off topic but I can't help but notice that whenever Reid is on the ballot

the NV dems seem to be in a slump but he manages to pull it out (even if it is by about 400 votes in 98 heh).  

CO-02 (college)/FL-15 (home).  

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by: D in FL @ Wed Mar 16, 2011 at 00:08:06 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

And the plot thickens!

As expected, Brian Krolicki endorses Heller and takes himself out of Senate running... And probably into NV-02...

But here's something most didn't expect, but you heard from me first! [Hehe, I'm right again. ;-) ] Nevada Treasurer Kate Marshall (D-Reno) is considering an NV-02 run! If she does decide to jump in here, then Washoe Dems FINALLY have an A-List candidate who can actually take advantage of Obama's coattails and possibly get enough Indie voters to cut back on the ticket splitting and win this race.

Especially if Krolicki gets teabagged as Amodei siphons off some establishment support, then there's a chance a teabagger like Lippold slips through the cracks of the constantly troubled Nevada GOP and makes this a little easier for an A-List Dem like Marshall (though it still won't be a cakewalk, as this is a traditionally GOP district).

Yes, Virginia, there ARE progressives in Nevada!
24, gay male, Democrat, NV-03 (or 04?)

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by: atdleft @ Tue Mar 15, 2011 at 18:56:25 PM UTC

Is Angle planning a run for NV-02 too?

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!

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by: LookingOver @ Tue Mar 15, 2011 at 23:45:58 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Check my new diary...

Hehe. ;-)

No really, I explain more over there. Long story short, none of us really knows what Sharrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrron will do. It now looks like she will face stiff establishment opposition in either NV-Sen or NV-02, so there's no incentive for an easy ride should she run for House instead. And with teabagger opinion makers like Chuck Muth drooling over Kirk Lippold, she may not see all that much value in settling down for NV-02.

Yes, Virginia, there ARE progressives in Nevada!
24, gay male, Democrat, NV-03 (or 04?)

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by: atdleft @ Wed Mar 16, 2011 at 00:44:53 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

2012 is generational year for the Nevada GOP

It isn't as critical for the Dems, but if the GOP loses the Senate seat with their best candidate (either because of teabagging in a primary losing the general), and loses the new NV-02, they could be looking at a big uphill climb to get Nevada back to a swing state.

After the 2012 election, Dems should have one Senator and two house seats locked in.  The other Senate seat, two house seats, and the electoral college votes are up for grabs.  The (small) possibility of a GOP wipeout should make nevada Obama's biggest small state target.

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by: tommypaine @ Wed Mar 16, 2011 at 02:15:43 AM UTC

All 3 Dem committees are playing here!

The (small) possibility of a GOP wipeout should make nevada Obama's biggest small state target.

And so far, it is. OFA (DNC), the DSCC, & the DCCC are all playing here. OFA is doing community action nights every week, and pretty soon they will restart canvassing. And obviously, both the DSCC & the DCCC are busy attacking likely GOP frontrunners in NV-02 & NV-Sen, as well as pushing prominent Dems to challenge them. They're not even letting up on Joe Heck.

It seems regardless of who's talking what in Carson City, Dems in DC really want to play for the royal flush here.

Yes, Virginia, there ARE progressives in Nevada!
24, gay male, Democrat, NV-03 (or 04?)

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by: atdleft @ Wed Mar 16, 2011 at 02:21:14 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Good call by nat'l Dems

Nevada is one of a handful of Dem-friendly states that is growing ... or was, and likely will be again soon. The long-term benefits of getting Nevada permanently onto the side of Team Blue would be considerable. Additionally, it's got cheap media markets so money goes further, and the population is mostly clustered into easy-to-organize cities.  

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.

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by: arealmlc @ Wed Mar 16, 2011 at 05:24:54 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

The really big red-to-blue targets for the Democrats seem to be...

Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Ohio, and Virginia. The latter two, Democrats suffered something of a setback there last year; New Mexico could have been better, but it also could have been much worse. But there seems to be quite a strong push to lock up those states, with the understanding that they'll probably go in something of ascending order in terms of the length of time and amount of effort it will take to put them in the Democratic column.

Republicans seem to be playing a similar game in New Hampshire, Michigan, Maine, Wisconsin, and Minnesota, perhaps recognizing that demographic trends are in their favor there. But the Republicans in those states seem to be doing their damndest to set back the GOP's efforts to win the hearts and minds of voters.

20, center-left independent, Auckland Central resident, MD-05 voter, OR-01 native

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by: SaoMagnifico @ Wed Mar 16, 2011 at 08:11:32 AM UTC

[ Parent ]