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SSP Daily Digest: 2/8

by: Crisitunity

Tue Feb 08, 2011 at 3:59 PM EST


HI-Sen: I don't know whether this means that Linda Lingle isn't interested in a Senate bid and attention is turning elsewhere, or if the now-unemployed ex-Rep. Charles Djou is just looking to parlay his accidental half-a-year in the House into something else to do. At any rate, Djou is getting back in the public eye with a new anti-Dem op-ed, and his name is correspondingly getting floated as a possible opponent to Dan Akaka. (Recall that Djou swore off electoral politics a few months ago though, in what seemed like pretty conclusive fashion at the time.)

IN-Sen: Richard Lugar just keeps sticking it to the tea partiers, telling them one more time to "Get real" (this time in connection with their opposition to START... because nothing says "fiscal discipline" like buying a lot of nuclear missiles). Roll Call's Tricia Miller also takes a look today at the increased efforts by the tea partiers to not split their votes against Lugar in the primary, which may actually lead to an informal statewide caucus in September to pick their prize pig. The latter article also mentions Rep. Joe Donnelly and ex-Rep. Brad Ellsworth (who officially says he "wouldn't rule it out") as potential challengers, suggesting that Dems are sensing this might turn into a winnable race if the primary teabagging is successful.

MO-Sen: Ed Martin, who originally reported that he outraised both Claire McCaskill and fellow GOP primary candidate Sarah Steelman in December (with $229K raised and $176K CoH), has had to issue a little amended FEC report, seeing as how that number was... how do you say... completely wrong. He instead said he has $25K CoH, and blamed it on a "computer problem." (A "computer problem" that gets it off by a factor of seven? What is he using, a Commodore 64?)

MT-Sen: Hmmm, a little too soon after the murder of a federal judge to be making that kind of remark? Rep. Denny Rehberg (who seems to be running a full-throated teabagger campaign despite not having any primary opposition anymore), while appearing before the state legislature yesterday, remarked that he'd like to "put some of these judicial activists on the Endangered Species List." That comes only a few days after his joint appearance with Michele Bachmann where he said "President Bachmann... that sounds pretty good" (although an adviser later appeared with mop and bucket to say that shouldn't be construed as an actual endorsement).

NE-Sen: You may have already seen this yesterday, but the bombshell revelation is that AG Jon Bruning, the apparent frontrunner for the GOP nomination to face Ben Nelson (and, let's face it, frontrunner in the general too) was a librul!!1!! back when he was in college and law school. Some of his writings from that era surfaced, no doubt to the delight of potential primary opponents like Don Stenberg.

VT-Sen: Fresh off his financial success in the wake of the publicity over Filibernie, Bernie Sanders actually seems to have taken to this whole fundraising thing with gusto. (It probably also helps that in 2012 he may face a challenger who's credible, at least on paper, in the form of state Auditor Tom Salmon.) He's holding a fundraiser in Boston this weekend.

CA-36: Los Angeles city councilor Janice Hahn wasted no time in lining up some big name support for her House bid, from mayor (and the man who defeated her brother) Antonio Villaraigosa. (She also rolled out Joe Trippi as her media consultant.) We also have some additional names that we didn't get yesterday: James Lau, former director of the California League of Conservation Voters Education Fund and narrow loser of an Assembly race last year, is interested. However, former Assemblyman Ted Lieu (currently running for a vacant state Senate seat in a special election to be held later this month) and Assemblyman Warren Furutani have ruled it out. On the GOP side, '10's sacrificial lamb, Mattie Fein, says she may run again; higher up the food chain, former NFL player Damon Dunn is mentioned as a possibility (which could set up a strange rematch of last year's SoS election). Speaking of which, Debra Bowen seems to be in the race, at least privately; she's reportedly the only candidate who has told the state Dem party that she is running, and she has an ActBlue page already set up.

The Fix also has a few other possible names: on the Dem side, state Controller John Chiang, and on the GOP side, county commissioner Don Knabe, or Nathan Mintz, a tea party fave who lost an Assembly race last year. The Sacramento Bee also mentions Craig Huey as a possible GOP candidate; he runs JudgeVoterGuide.org to help evangelical conservatives pick judicial candidates.

NC-07: Republican Ilario Pantano, who came fairly close to beating Rep. Mike McIntyre last year despite some, um, glaring problems on his resume (y'know, like that murder charge and that working for Goldman Sachs), confirms he's back for another try. The real question here is what happens to the district in the redistricting process? I'm wondering if he could wind up running in NC-08 if the GOP legislature decides to target Larry Kissell instead of McIntyre (it'd be very hard to do both while trying to protect Renee Ellmers in NC-02).

NH-02, WI-01: Want to see your netroots dollars at work? Americans United for Change and Daily Kos are running 60-second radio spots targeting Charlie Bass in NH-02 and Paul Ryan in WI-01, in their first foray into issue advertising hitting them on their support for HCR repeal. (I'm especially pleased to see R+2 WI-01 treated as a target.) Blue America PAC is also running similar ads in FL-24 and NJ-07.

Mayors: As if he needed any more momentum behind his candidacy, Rahm Emanuel got the endorsement of the one figure in Chicago politics who actually seems mostly beloved instead of just feared: SoS Jesse White. Meanwhile, in Philadelphia, incumbent mayor Michael Nutter is looking like he may have a similarly easy race this year. Perhaps his biggest-possible-name opponent, state Sen. Anthony Hardy Williams, has decided not to run; Nutter also picked up the endorsement of the Black Clergy of Philadelphia (I'm not sure whether the Williams dropout or the Clergy endorsement came first, but I'd bet they're related.)

Colorado GOP: Wow, you know the Republican Party has gone off a cliff when Dick Wadhams (Karl Rove protégé and svengali to George Allen) is suddenly the voice of reason in the room. Faced with a tea party challenge to his leadership, the Colorado state party chair just reversed course and said he won't seek another term leading the state GOP. On his way out, he leveled some blasts at the very rank-and-filers that he helped whip up into a frenzy and lost control of:

"...frankly, I just got tired of the people who see a conspiracy behind everything we do, people who don't have any clue what the role of the state party really is."

We Love the 90s: If you're feeling the ground shaking, it's because there's a whole lot of dancing throughout the liberal blogosphere on the grave of the Democratic Leadership Council, which is shutting down. While I will gladly join in the Nelson Muntz-style ha-haing and agree that the primary factor in their demise was the fundamental crappiness of their product, it's worth noting that their sudden rise in irrelevance seemed to go hand in hand with the sudden lack of celebrity power behind them, with the seeming end of the Clinton dynasty (and the failure of Harold Ford Jr. to pick up that flag for the next generation), and also just with the rise in polarization over the last few years, meaning less audience for their little portion of the political spectrum. I'd also point out that they provided a launching pad for some guys who are doing really good work these days, like Simon Rosenberg and Ed Kilgore.

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 2/8
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Donnelly and Ellsworth are both in the mix for the gubernatorial election too
Somewhat amusingly, someone running for Senate might have a better chance than they would for Governor; Mike Pence will be tough to beat, while a run against Mourdock (at this point) looks like a tossup.  

Independent Socialist & Chair of SSP Cranky Indianian Hoosier Caucus, IN-09

My
guess is Donnelly goes for Senate and Ellsworth for Governor. That is how I think it is leaning now anyway but I could be wrong. I really do not want a bloody primary in either race and the problem is you have three people looking at statewide runs and W is def running for Gov, the question is what Ellsworth does. I really don't see Donnelly running for Governor. I suppose I would rather have a bloody gubernatorial election than Senate as we might have a better shot at the Senate without Lugar than Gov with Pence.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
I posted a few days ago about the need for a contested Dem Senate primary
I argued that such a thing would keep the attention of voters that would otherwise go to the polls on May 6 and vote for Lugar in his primary instead, giving him a better shot at beating Mourdock.

It didn't occur to me, however, that a gubernatorial primary on the D side would work just as well (probably) as a Senate one.

I wonder if there's any chance of Tim Roemer pulling a combination Hunstman/Coats and coming back to Indiana from India (yes, that was a fun sentence to put together) to run for Senate.  

Independent Socialist & Chair of SSP Cranky Indianian Hoosier Caucus, IN-09


[ Parent ]
Huntsman*


Independent Socialist & Chair of SSP Cranky Indianian Hoosier Caucus, IN-09

[ Parent ]
MT-Sen: Rehburg wishes they could
put "activist" judges like this one who ruled on a major Endangered Species Act case to be put on the Endagered Species List themselves.

http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo...

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


Twohundertseventy was right.
Rehburg is full of misfires and gaffes.  I also wonder if Tester is planning to slam him on his lawsuit against some firefighters who he claimed could not put out a fire on his property fast enoguh.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
I think he will. This will largely be a race
in which both candidates position themselves as the more authentic folksy choice. This  lawsuit will be a prime talking point against Rehberg on that front. OTOH, if I were Tester I'd stay away from the boating crash mostly because of the same reason-- there are so many Montanans boating drunk, or tubing the rivers drunk, that it could actually help Rehberg if word gets out that he does just the same on his weekends as everyone else.

However, Rehberg will commit many more fresh gaffes. In his big 2000 race, he talked about eliminating AIDS funding because 'AIDS patients die anyway, so why spend money on them?', and a couple of years earlier he'd commented that 'Indians only work until they get their first paycheck'.

Lots more hilarity in the works, I'm sure.

18- Hamburg, Germany (non-US-citizen)


[ Parent ]
Ah crap!
So sorry, I missed that news on the list.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
confused
Someone made a comment there that the animals on the Endangered Species List are ones you want to protect.
So if he wants to put activist judges on the list, does he really mean he wants to protect them to see their numbers increase? I'm sooo confused...

[ Parent ]
Oh yeah.
Shame on my sense of logic for not picking that up.  Although I doubt that's what he was thinking when he said it.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
No, it means that you're going to shoot off
so many of them that they're endangered. He quite obviously thinks that activist judges are everywhere, and quite clearly said so. It means different things when I say that I'm going to put the Nigerian Purple-Striped Butterfly (I just  made that up) on the Endangered species list or when I say that I want to do it with domestic dogs.

18- Hamburg, Germany (non-US-citizen)

[ Parent ]
You don't have much of a sarcasm meter


[ Parent ]
Oops. Yeah, looks like I don't.


18- Hamburg, Germany (non-US-citizen)

[ Parent ]
Conrad Burns?
Is that you?

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
I have to say
that I am not so impressed by the quality of that ad against Ryan. It sounds either computer generated or clumsily edited.  

Ryan
I can understand going after Bass who just barely won that seat, but Ryan? He consistently does better than a generic R in that district. If they're looking to flip a seat in WI they should go after rookie Sean Duffy, who has a D+3 seat in a cheaper media market.

41, Ind, CA-05

[ Parent ]
I think Ryan is definitely vulnerable
This analysis by Crisitunity showed that in the 110th congress Ryan was the house GOPer most to the right of his district (although that has no doubt changed with the arrival of the Allen Wests and Ann Marie Buerkles of the world arriving in congress). Ryan runs as a hardcore right-wing austerity type, yet is sitting in a swing district that voted for Obama. I think as he becomes more and more the face of the national GOP he will perform more like a normal Republican in that district, and also as he is spending more and more time in Washington he will be undoubtedly spending less and less time in his district meeting with voters and doing constituent service. I'm not saying he's necessarily likely to be defeated, but it is definitely something we should attempt, especially given the huge payoff if we succeed.

The thing I don't understand is why the hell Blue America PAC is running ads in NJ-07 and FL-24?  

Male, VA-08


[ Parent ]
Ryan
He's a hardcore right-winger in the same sense that Jeff Flake is: a serious small-government conservative who isn't into cultural issues. Flake runs very well among independents in his district and I suspect that Ryan also would even with a tougher opponent than he usually gets.

That said, if I'm the Dems I would not give Ryan a pass. His district is just R+2 and I think anyone with a district up to R+5 or so should get a serious opponent. But ultimately what matters is numbers and I would make Ryan a lower priority than easier targets like Duffy or Cravaack.  

41, Ind, CA-05


[ Parent ]
They'll probably go after both, but
by attacking Ryan now, they can both soften him up for when the real attack ads begin in 2012 and keep him in the news as the face of the Roadmap (he is, after all) that calls for massive cuts in Medicare.

I also wonder if leaving Duffy alone now makes it easier to define him when the race really heats up. After all, he hasn't done much of anything yet since he's so new, and the chance that he looks reasonable and sympathetic now makes it harder to attack him closer to the election.  

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?


[ Parent ]
I'm never impressed with much the left releases as ads
but the ones I'm least impressed with tend to be the ones that work.


[ Parent ]
PPP: Plurality of CA voters regret recalling Gov. Davis.
42% to 32%
http://politicalwire.com/archi...
No surprises here.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


Davis is too old to run again...
No text.

[ Parent ]
I know, but this is a great case
of buyer's remorse.  Davis was thrown out because of the budget issues and his hiding its magnitude.  Then, they were left with a governor who oversaw a budget crisis that dwarfs that of Davis.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
This is off topic, but
while we've never discussed policy, I think you and I would agree on a lot of things. So, I think you would very much enjoy reading the link below. It's an old column, but it puts a lot of things in perspective.

http://www.marketwatch.com/sto...

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?


[ Parent ]
I thoroughly enjoyed that article
Just wanted to voice my approval.

20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)

[ Parent ]
Me, too, good article
Any article that allows me to think, "Yeah, stupid Texas. Eff off, Texas," is a good article in my book.

Btw, notice how there are tons of Californians on SSP, but relatively few Texans? Just sayin'....  

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


[ Parent ]
West Coast Represent!


for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


[ Parent ]
Hey, you got both, right here in one person!
Though I'm much more California than Texas.

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
That's true of many colleges too
more Californians than Texans, by a large margin. and probably more New Yorkers too, which is more significant since NY has a smaller population.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Ignorance
is bliss as they say. Plus Texas isn't big on the whole science thing anyway so why plop a college down there. Also you don't need college to educate a minimum wage work force which most of Texas is.

19, Male, Independent, CA-12

[ Parent ]
Well, I voted "No" on the recall
But I still regret that we recalled him anyways. But hey, don't blame me, I still didn't vote for Ahhhnold.

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.

[ Parent ]
Djou hurt himself with his flame-out late last year.
He blamed the voters for any lost earmarks and other public project funding he could have brought them had he been elected (Boehner supposedly promised him an Appropriations seat).  Talk about sore.  Did he seriously think he was favored to win in a 1-on-1 race in a D+11 district?  Now, I'm just waiting for him to commit total Hawaiian political suicide and bash Obama.

Fun fact: Hanabusa is the third Buddhist to join Congress after Hank Johnson and Hirano.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


Hopefully there's a move afoot in HI
to change the special election law so there can't be the chance of another Djou in future contested elections.

[ Parent ]
Djou now a lobbyist
Not sure if this says much about his desire to run again or if Hawaiian voters would care, but Djou and Walt Minnick have opened up a new lobby shop in DC.

http://majoritygroupllc.com/th...


[ Parent ]
I like that
We Aren't Gonna Win Our Old Districts Anyway, LLC.

überliberal Democrat, male, OH-12 (college), NJ-09 ("home"), Mets, Jets

[ Parent ]
yeah
Djou went out looking like a sore loser.  He's not competitive statewide, far from it.  At this point for the GOP, it's Lingle or bust.  And even she would start as the underdog I feel.  She burnt a lot of bridges towards the end of her time in office.

[ Parent ]
"They've even got Groundskeeper Willy teaching French..."
IN-Sen: There's absolutely no reason, at all, Democrats shouldn't take this race seriously. Either they go up against a Teabagger who could make this not only competitive but possibly even a "Lean D" race heading into the fall, or they put up a spirited campaign against Lugar, who will probably win,  Resources can be adjusted as the dynamics of the race become clear. But as high as I am on Texas, Indiana almost certainly presents a much greater chance of victory.

MO-Sen: Are you sure Ed Martin wasn't just expressing his opinion of what he raised? After all, if it's his opinion that he raised a certain amount of money, who are we to say otherwise? All individuals, especially conservative patriotic Republicans, are entitled to their own opinions.

MT-Sen: Several people said this guy is a walking clown show and there's a lot of dirt on him that has yet to be made public. If that's the case, and he keeps screwing himself with comments like these, perhaps Tester is in a lot better shape than we think if he runs a smart campaign.

NE-Sen: A lot of this can be chalked up to him holding different views when he was younger, but a lot of what he said was pretty damn strong for any age. Perhaps this won't sink him, but I could easily see it becoming a problem. I wonder how Nelson will handle it.

Colorado GOP: This seems like big news. It's not exactly the same as Muhammad Ali Hasan, the of the big time Colorado Republican Hasan donor family, switching parties and becoming a Democrat, but it's close enough. I'm not sure how common it is, or even what sort of form it would take, but perhaps the president could hold some sort of town hall forum for people who have become disillusioned with the extreme nature of the Republicans. He'd have to walk a fine line with what he chooses to say, but some sort of event where he welcomes Independents and Republicans as well as Democrats would allow him to claim the mantle of centrism or bipartisanship or whatever else. (Hell, make Muhammad Ali Hasan a speaker at this forum.) And the Republican base, for its part, will likely provide a nice contrast by declaring, quite loudly, that moderates shouldn't let the door hit them on their asses on the way out, providing a nice contrast.  

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?


Here's something funny.
A TN State Rep. credits her former job as a Hooters waitress for her later success.

http://www.knoxnews.com/news/2...

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


Almost as funny as Obama beating Palin in TN


[ Parent ]
Are you serious?
Obama might be looking at 500 EVs if that's the case.

23, Male, Democrat, OH-13

[ Parent ]
One poll done by Vanderbilt and The Tennessean
found that he beat her 42 to 27, but that was with 20 percent picking none of the above. And no other candidates were tested.

I'm curious to see what PPP comes up with when they test Tennessee for both the presidential race and the senate race. I'd be amazed if Obama beat any of the Republicans except for Palin, but if he's within single digits, it might be worth looking into what sort of coalition can be constructed.  

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?


[ Parent ]
Hey, it's StephenCLE!
You're not dead!

Independent Socialist & Chair of SSP Cranky Indianian Hoosier Caucus, IN-09

[ Parent ]
Embarrassing for TN
Julia Hurley should have been beaten easily by the incumbent Democrat, Dennis Ferguson, but he was to lazy to actually campaign (a typical trait of TN Democrats sadly), so now we get to deal with having a 29-yr old "Hooters Girl" in the legislature.  

Democrat: TN-8

[ Parent ]
I just hope they win it back.


Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
Too lazy to campaign?


"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?

[ Parent ]
Too lazy to campaign?


"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?

[ Parent ]
TN Democrats rely on expensive mass media houses instead of groundwork
TN Democrats rely heavily on expensive media shops to do glossy generic mail pieces, robo calls, and usually low-quality commercials for cable systems. It is actually a rare sight to see a TN Democrat who actually runs a full on campaign for the state legislature. Campaigns where they actually have a canvassing plan, volunteers, live phone banking, organized rides to the polls to get out the vote, multiple campaign events/rallies, etc. The "gurus" within the "good old boy network" in Nashville pretty much tell them to raise lots of money and then give it to their media houses for mass media - and then every cycle we count our loses and wonder why all that money didn't buy the elections.

The Democrats who actually run ground campaigns and are organized typically are more competitive and win, those who don't keep getting upset time and again by low quality opponents. Many Democrats over the last few cycles too old to be running, yet ran and got knocked off; plenty more were just complacent and took their offices for granted.

Democrat: TN-8


[ Parent ]
What a bunch of assholes.
There, I said it.

This is all the more reason for Obama to take over this process and help promote some people who will go the opposite, likely more successful route, even if chance of him winning the state is pretty remote.  

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?


[ Parent ]
Ugh, it sounds like a real malaise.
So Jim Sasser's '94 loss wasn't unusual.  Apparently, he was too busy lobbying to be majority leader than to take Bill Frist seriously.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
She also had a daughter at age 15
what a stunning display of great Christian family values. Having shown the world how morally wholesome she is, she has earned the right to judge gay people. (no, the article doesn't mention her hating gay people, but Southern Baptist/Republican/Tennessee--do you really have to ask?)

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Pres 2036: Bristol Palin "probably run for public office"
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...

Can she she defeat Jenna Bush in the Republican primary?  What about the formidible more seasoned Chelsea Clinton in the general?  Will Malia Obama run or wait until 2040?  Is Karenna Gore Schiff too old to mount a campaign?

NY-13, Democrat. Blog @ http://infinitefunction.wordpr...


Oh my god.


19, Self Appointed Chair of the SSP Gay Caucus (I claimed it first :p), male, Dem, IN-09 (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09)

[ Parent ]
I can't wait!


Independent Socialist & Chair of SSP Cranky Indianian Hoosier Caucus, IN-09

[ Parent ]
...
maybe after what we've seen recently she will run against Democrat Barbara Bush in the General?

[ Parent ]
Barbara v. Jenna in the general election?


22, Democrat, AZ-01
Peace. Love. Gabby.


[ Parent ]
Two sister one family one election.
This is retarded aristocracy er democracy 2036!  

CO-02 (college)/FL-15 (home).  

[ Parent ]
Ah, so that's why she wrote her "memoir"...
As a first step to running for office.
Next, if she really wants to follow her Mom, her next step is to drop out of 3 colleges.

[ Parent ]
was it dropping out, or transferring
if transferring then that's unfair, there are legitimate reasons to change colleges.

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

[ Parent ]
I could see Chelsea
But Bristol? Wow.  

26 White Male. Born and raised in MN-8, currently living in MN-5.

"A man who stands for nothing will fall for anything."


[ Parent ]
I could picture Sasha in
the White House before I could picture Bristol Palin.  

19, Self Appointed Chair of the SSP Gay Caucus (I claimed it first :p), male, Dem, IN-09 (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09)

[ Parent ]
What nonsense.
At the risk of sounding like a complete dick, can I ask, what sort of skills or talents does this girl have? She doesn't have a college degree, nor does she plan to get one as far as I know. It's not as if she's got some musical or athletic talent. She's certainly young, so it's not like she can't turn things around, but she quite literally has nothing to offer anyone. Perhaps she should set her mind to accomplishing something--anything at all--before she makes plans to run for office.  

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?

[ Parent ]
Levi thought she had "talent"....
...and he's running for Mayor of Wasilla... well known launch pad for future Presidential wannabes.  Sadly I bet you if Bristol ran she'd win.

NY-13, Democrat. Blog @ http://infinitefunction.wordpr...

[ Parent ]
I don't mind people dreaming.
Hell, I've often wondered what it might be like to play in the big leagues and work as a chief of staff. But seriously, this girl is like political equivalent of those tool bags Spencer and Heidi Pratt, except with perhaps even less to offer. That has to change before anything else happens.

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?

[ Parent ]
Interesting contrast on the way Lugar is dealing with the TP vs how Hatch is.
Lugar is deliberately dissing them, presumably assuming they aren't strong enough to beat him in his primary.
Hatch is kowtowing to the TeaParty, assuming that he could be beaten by them at the UT's Repub convention of 3000 activists...
Would Hatch ever dare tell them to get real about START like Lugar?

Open primary versus closed convention


[ Parent ]
AL state Senator outcrazies Brewer.
On the subject of immigration crackdowns, he says the GOP has to "empty the clip, and do what has to be done."

http://politicalwire.com/archi...

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


Of all irresponsible gun metaphors...
this one probably disturbs me the most.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
I'll hopefully
think of it next time someone reminds me both sides do it and then ask them which Democrats have used such explicit metaphors.  

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?

[ Parent ]
CA Redistricting
The Justice Department has formally precleared the Prop. 11/20 commission to draw Congressional districts.  Not exactly a surprise, but still worth noting if only because it's the first preclearance announcement of the cycle.

http://blogs.sacbee.com/capito...

23, male, Democrat, IA-02 (previously CA-26, PA-06, CA-06)


Louisiana officially returns to open primaries
http://www.nola.com/politics/i...

Once again Federal elections (not just state and local ones) will feature all candidates on the same ballot regardless of party, with a run-off for the top two if no one gets >50%.  

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



PPP has a new web poll on who they should poll next.
http://publicpolicypolling.blo...

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


Not that it matters, since they put Ron Paul as an option.


[ Parent ]
Atleast they have
Rand and Gary Johnson also, to dilute their vote. I voted Huntsman just b/c he was closest. I'd rather see T-Paw, but I don't want Paul.

[ Parent ]
Just question for anyone who is interested
I'm making a map for PA Dem gerrymander to see what could be done, and I would like to know if anyone here knows a lot about PA voting patterns by city/county. I want to show someone who knows PA better than me the map I made and see what kind of suggestions or comments they have that could help the map.

I tried cramming as many republican areas as possible into 4 districts (one outside of philadelphia, one huge northern district, one int he south central and one in the southwestern part of the state) There should also be maybe 1-3 swing districts, so I could probably make one more Repub district to shore up another one or two districts.

I also was able to combine Harrisburg, the city of Lancaster, York and Lebanon into what I think would be a Lean Dem district... not sure how that district is though, as I'm no PA expert.

21, Male, Gay, Dem, Born: AR-04 ;  Current Residence: FL-02


A Lancaster-York-Harrisburg District
would probably go Democratic.

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
Rahm at 54% in new poll, Moseley Braun in forth place
http://abclocal.go.com/wls/sto...

February 8, 2011 (CHICAGO) (WLS) -- ABC7's exclusive poll on the Chicago mayor's race provides a snapshot of how the candidates are doing as we head into the final two weeks of the campaign.

Rahm Emanuel's 54 percent share in the survey suggests an overwhelming lead, nearly quadrupling second place Gery Chico at 14 percent; Miguel del Valle was third at 8 percent followed by Carol Moseley Braun at 6; others at 3 and undecideds at 15 percent.

Margin of error is 4%.


21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



Ya think that
Braun's "strung out on crack" crack against that minor candidate made her nonviable here?

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
Found this photo from '93.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wi...

Braun's among them, but what caught my eye was Boxer (top right corner).  She looked so different back then! :o

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
Braun at 6% means she's garnering less than a fourth of the black vote
I find it rather difficult to fathom that, but OK.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

[ Parent ]
Emmanuel garners
53% of the AA vote in this poll, near his 57% support among Caucasians.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
Lack of esteem.
According to the poll, while Emmanuel has an esteem (or favorability) rating of 6.6/10, Chico has 5.7, Del Valle has 5.2, and Braun has 3.4.  That's pretty miserable.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
For more info, watch this:
http://abclocal.go.com/wls/vid...

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
And she rolls out her first TV ad...
[ Parent ]
Race baiting
it's alive and well.

"Do you remember when we were treated as second class citizens? Let's win and show them something!"

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26


[ Parent ]
Webb to Retire!!!
Politico just broke the story, quoting a "Senior Advisor"

http://www.politico.com/blogs/...

Mr. Kaine? Senator Murray is here and she brought two guys named Moose and Rocko to have a "chat" with you...

"Earnestness is stupidity sent to college"
P. J. O'Rourke


D leaning tossup
to R leaning tossup, even R lean.  oy.  

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

[ Parent ]
All depends on Kaine...
I can't imagine Kaine being any less favored than Webb would have been. He's a fairly popular former governor. And Obama's reelection strategy will be playing hard for Virginia, trying to unlock the full potential of the minority and youth vote, as they did in '08.

[ Parent ]
Still tilts D with Kaine IMO
Would tilt R with Perriello.

[ Parent ]
New Jersey
Menendez job approval 44-36, up 6 points since December. Obama at 55.

http://politicalticker.blogs.c...


NJ-Sen looks Likely D to me
Not that Menendez is the most sterling incumbent out there, but, with Obama winning atop the ticket by double-digits (I'd peg him at about a 56-44 victory), it's hard to fathom how someone like Tom Kean can muster the massive cross-over vote necessary to triumph. By my count, Kean could win 95% of Republicans, 15% of Democrats and 53% of Independents, and still fall short.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

[ Parent ]
Rudy Giuliani still mulling a 2012 bid, with focus on NH...
Gabby asked for Toast!
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/41...
Arizona Rep. Gabrielle Giffords has recovered enough from a bullet to the brain to ask for toast with breakfast.

Few details are available, but Pia Carusone, Giffords' chief of staff, confirmed that the congresswoman made the verbal request on Monday when hospital workers at TIRR Memorial Hermann brought her a meal.




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