Jerry Brown (D): 39
Meg Whitman (R): 46
Other: 7
Undecided: 8
(MoE: ±4%)
CO-Sen: It looks like Ken Buck's efforts to distance himself from his earlier efforts to distance himself from Tom Tancredo's recent declaration that Barack Obama is the "greatest threat to the United States today" have hit a bit of a snag. A local FOX News affiliate has obtained audio of Buck in the middle of a major facepalm a day after Tancredo first made his controversial remarks at a Buck rally: "I can't believe that guy opened his mouth." Whoops! See, this is the thing with running a successful primary campaign in today's Republican Party: you either have to fully embrace the crazy, or become Charlie Crist.
KS-04: Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates for Mike Pompeo (7/6-8, likely voters, May in parens):
Mike Pompeo (R): 27 (19)
Wink Hartman (R): 21 (38)
Jean Schodorf (R): 13 (13)
Jim Anderson (R): 4 (5)
(MoE: ±5.3%)
Cedric Richmond (D): 26
Joe Cao (R-inc): 51
(MoE: ±5%)
Cao being in the lead is probably correct (though I have my doubts as to the extent of the lead), given that no one really knows who Cedric Richmond, a state representative, is. Hopefully we'll see more general election polling once Richmond and fellow state Rep. Juan LaFonta fully engage their primary campaigns.
MI-13: Incumbent Rep. Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick is losing by 27-19 to one of her Democratic primary opponents, state Sen. Hansen Clarke, according to a poll released last month. The only problem, though, is that this poll, conducted by some firm called Practical Political Consulting on behalf of Inside Michigan Politics, has an absurdly small sample (n=137), meaning that the margin of error on this sucker is a monkey-fuck ridiculous 8.4%.
MS-01: Dem Rep. Travis Childers accepted the "Spirit of Enterprise Award" last week from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce in recognition of being a "friend of business for the entire country". It's another conservative score for Childers, who's also earned the endorsements of the NRA and the National Right to Life.
NY-13: Democrat Mike McMahon may yet face a primary... for the Independence Party nomination. '09 NYC city council candidate John Tabacco says he's laying the groundwork for a bid, and will base his decision to run on the amount of signatures his volunteers can gather.
TX-23: It just wouldn't be a congressional race without a story of some rich fuck running for office with a limo full of tax liens. KT over at Burnt Orange Report shares the news that Republican candidate Francisco "Quico" Canseco has been hit with over $700,000 worth of "federal, state and mechanics liens over unpaid payroll taxes and contracting fees since the early 1980s".
