Google Ads


Site Stats

6/1 Primary Results Round-Up

by: James L.

Wed Jun 02, 2010 at 12:41 PM EDT


Let's do a quick round-up of the results from last night's races.

Alabama:

  • AL-Gov: Who among us would have guessed that outgoing Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks would defeat Artur Davis by a 62-38 margin for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination? Artur Davis led the money race, led in all polling, and had a primary electorate with a large number of African-Americans to persuade and mobilize. This was truly his race to lose -- and he did just that, in spectacular fashion. The Birmingham News is calling it "one of the more remarkable upsets in Alabama primary history". I guess Artur Davis' strategy of playing for the general election at the expense of the primary by playing up his votes against the Democratic agenda in Washington turned out to be a massive dud. Makes you wonder if Davis is regretting his decision to seek re-election in 2008, and thereby putting himself in the awkward position of casting votes against Obama's agenda and campaigning in a Democratic primary.

    For the Republicans, ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne, who recently served as chancellor of the Alabama Community College System, bought a ticket to the runoff with 28% of the vote. Second place is still officially up in the air, with a recount likely between state Rep. Robert Bentley, who has 123,870 votes, and "Speak American!" businessman Tim James, who's sitting on 123,662 votes. However, unless there was a tabulation error or a pile of uncounted absentees sitting somewhere, it's hard to imagine James making up the ground he needs. Ten Commandments judge Roy Moore fizzled out with just 19% of the vote.


  • AL-AG: Republicans soundly turfed state Attorney General Troy King by a 60-40 margin, favoring instead '06 Lt. Governor candidate Luther Strange. The Democratic race appears to be headed for a runoff, with Montgomery attorney James Anderson just barely missing the 50% cut-off. Giles Perkins, a former executive director of the state Democratic Party, placed second.

  • AL-Ag Comm'r: It's a tough pill to swallow when Alabama Republicans decided to side with thugs and criminals over Dale Peterson. Peterson, who ran one of the teabagging-est campaigns in modern political history, only won 28% of the vote. Yard-sign stealer and absolute "dummy" Dorman Grace came in second with 35%, and John McMillan won 37%. The runoff just won't be the same without Dale. (The winner will take on Democrat Glen Zorn, one of Ron Sparks' deputies.)

  • AL-02: Montgomery city councilwoman Martha Roby, the NRCC-crowned establishment favorite, will have to slug it out in a runoff against teabagging businessman Rick "The Barber" Barber. Roby won 49% of the vote to Barber's 29%. The winner will face Democrat Bobby Bright in November.

  • AL-05: What a fun race. Parker Griffith capped off one of the more embarrassing party switches in recent history with a blow-out loss to Madison County Commissioner Mo Brooks by a 51-33 margin. It was such an ignominious loss that Griffith refused to speak to the media or even show up at his election night reception to thank his supporters. Brooks will face Democrat Steve Raby, a former aide to Sen. Howell Heflin, who won his nomination with 60% of the vote over Taze Shepard, the grandson of legendary Sen. John Sparkman.

    In his election night statement, Brooks excitedly gushed: "I know who our general election opponent is: (Speaker of the House) Nancy Pelosi." That's very much reminiscent of the PA-12 Tim Burns playbook; and maybe it'll have more legs in a district like this one, but it's probably an unwise course to chart given the lack of traction Republicans have gotten when adopting such framing wholesale.


  • AL-06: It's a TARP! There was little worth seeing here as GOP incumbent Spencer Bachus defeated insurgent challenger Stan Cooke by a 76-24 margin in this impossibly red district.

  • AL-07: We're looking at a runoff between securities attorney Terri Sewell, the candidate who seems closest in style to outgoing Rep. Artur Davis, and progressive Jefferson County Commissioner Shelia Smoot. Thanks to her large fundraising advantage, Sewell won the first round with 37% to Smoot's 29%. Earl Hilliard, Jr., son of the former Representative of this district, placed third with 27%. It's going to be a tough battle for Smoot to overcome Sewell's vastly superior fundraising and EMILY's List backing, but hopefully she can make something happen.

Mississippi:

  • MS-01: GOP state Sen. Alan Nunnelee won the Republican nomination to face Travis Childers and his mighty 'stache in November with 52% of the vote. Underfunded teabagger Henry Ross took 33%, while former Fox News talking head Angela McGlowan, the 12th hour pick of Sarah Palin, won only 15%. McGlowan is apparently refusing to endorse Nunnelee, calling him a RINO of the first order.

  • MS-04: Republican state Rep. Steven Palazzo took 57% of the vote in his primary against businessman Joe Tegerdine. Palazzo will attempt to dislodge entrenched Democratic incumbent Gene Taylor in the fall.

New Mexico:

  • NM-Gov: Republicans picked former Dona Ana DA Susana Martinez over former state party chair Allen Weh by a 51-28 margin, ensuring that New Mexico will have its first female Governor in its history. (The Democratic nominee is current Lt. Gov. Diane Denish.) The general election promises to be very competitive, as Martinez has actually exhibited some strength in recent general election polling.
James L. :: 6/1 Primary Results Round-Up
Tags: , , , , , , , , , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email

James, I have a lot of respect for you but this is a lie!
We're looking at a runoff between securities attorney Terri Sewell, the candidate who seems closest in style to outgoing Rep. Artur Davis, and progressive Jefferson County Commissioner Shelia Smoot.

I went to both websites before this primary heated up and I decided to donate to Terri Sewell whose law practice provides funding for worthy causes and who is an articulate spokesperson for President Obama health care reform. Very UNLIKE Artur Davis. Smoot on the other hand made no cogent statements at her web site to encourage my support. As a progressive, I find it disturbing to read this meme that you keep driving on this race and I hope Sewell prevails in the runoff as she is a Donna Edwards model for more and better Democrats replacing Artur Davis in this seat!


You're overstating your case
People can have honest differences in perception.

Based on Sewell's Wall Street / Law connections, it is easy to conclude that Sewell is establishment.

To suggest that James's perception is a "lie" is IMO itself a slander.


[ Parent ]
it's not a lie, but it's not proven
Lots of progressives end up working in BigLaw after law school to pay off debt and gain experience.  Then they move on, or in Sewell's case, take their skills and bring them home.

[ Parent ]
Calling Sewell closest to Artur Davis when she powerfully
supports Obama healthcare is uhhh, an untruth, being disingenuous or a failure of being factual. OK, an honest difference of opinion!

[ Parent ]
I see your point but you took it too far.
Sewell was the Artur Davis-endorsed candidate, so people seem to be visiting Davis's sins on her.  She'll be a better progressive than Davis.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
nothing against Sewell
but let's go with Smoot the better dem

[ Parent ]
We can all agree now on one thing
Sewell or Smoot, we will have a significant progressive upgrade now over Artur Davis!

[ Parent ]
NY-Gov: Levy bombs at NY GOP convention, fails to make primary ballot; Lazio the official nominee
Now I wonder...
If I should vote in the Dem Runoff so that I can be sure to cast my vote in the State-Sen-28 Race... Or Vote in the Repub Runoff for the Governor race there...

Decisions, Decisions...


Probably go
with state senate, since Beasley definitely needs to win.

[ Parent ]
I suppose...
I mean I would HATE to have Johnny Ford getting into the State Senate and pulled that party switch stunt again on us.  

He's already switched twice already (Dem -> Rep -> Dem), yet we still have a lot of people willing to see him in office... Sigh...


[ Parent ]
Unless the recount is long and bloody
I think Byrne will lose to whomever wins the recount.  Establishment "moderate" candidates like Byrne who are unable to get even 30% rarely win the runoff.

[ Parent ]
If AL is like SC ..
then you cannot switch parties BETWEEN the primary and runoff.

There is no party registartion in SC, butyou can't vote in GOP primary and then vote in the Dem runoff, or vice versa.You might want ot check on that for AL.


[ Parent ]
AL State Senate
We have 20 seats, and based on last night's results, I think we have 18 seats locked away, the minimum majority.

From last night:
SD01: results make me confidant we can hold Bobby Denton's district
SD04: too strong a showing for the GOP to be confidant in Zeb Little (inc)
SD05: too strong a showing for the GOP for a chance at picking up Charlie Bishop's seat (ret)
SD09: we can kiss Hinton Minchum's district goodbye
SD13: not too confidant in holding Kim Benefield's seat
SD15: no candidate against a liar who beat 3-term liar Steve French
SD28: we can hold Myron Penn's district, as long as Beasley (48%) wins the runoff against multi-time party-switcher Ford (28%)
SD30: Wendell Mitchell can hold on

Overall, I don't like our chances of holding this for four more years. Maybe through redistricting, though.


Helps with redistricting if Sparks
wins the gubernatorial race. I've already redrawn it, two reliably Democratic seats.  

[ Parent ]
S Martinez should lose

Yesterday republican primary was a race between low level candidates. Her better political result in all her political career comes from a Survey USA poll.


Poll Not a Problem
That poll was probably just a pre-primary bounce. I do worry about Denish though. As far as I can tell, she's never run a race where she is the top of ticket, and without a geographic base (or a ton of money), that usually spells trouble.

[ Parent ]
Strongly disagree with this sentiment
Susana Martinez is by far the best GOP nominee.  I'd put this race as tossup at best.  A lot of Hispanic Democrats will vote for Martinez.  

And I'm considering voting for her as well, if she runs as a moderate and doesn't bring in Sarah Palin.  We'll see how the campaign goes.  


[ Parent ]
I imagine she will still have to deal
With the endorsement regardless. But sure, Martinez seems as good as it gets for the GOP here.

[ Parent ]
Running as a moderate
is not the same as being one (see Bob McDonnell).

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Granted
but McDonnell is an extreme case.  I would not have supported him.  But other sane GOP moderates I would support.  The jury is out on Martinez.    

I'm not a straight D voter.  I supported Bush when I lived in Texas and considered supporting for him in 2000. I supported Heather Wilson a couple of times in New Mexico.  I would have certainly supported Joe Lieberman in 2006 and may support him in 2012.


[ Parent ]
All I'm saying is
don't be surprised if Martinez campaigns as a moderate and then goes around and starts to rock the crazy. I say this as someone who is voting for Lincoln Chafee for governor (ok, not the same, but I'm not speaking as someone who just automatically votes D).

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
I'll donate to him if
Patrick Lynch doesn't win the Democratic Primary.  

[ Parent ]
Does anyone know
if we have a chance at picking up that magical 26th seat in California's senate? Is John Benoit's seat a possibility? The general is next Tuesday. I know Maldonado's is a better shot, but its incosequential primary is the 22nd, and the general isn't until August 17th.

We need to pick up two
Both Maldonado's and Denham's seats went to Obama by a large margin, if we win both of them, we have a 27-13 edge in the Senate.

[ Parent ]
So
is there a point in watching the special next week with everything else going on?

And is there any prospect of 54 assembly seats?


[ Parent ]
From the looks of it
it will be tough to pick up anything.  

I would recommend the diaries by californianintexas.

http://www.swingstateproject.c...
 


[ Parent ]
SD-15 is big for getting towards 2/3 in the Senate
  and the "primary" in not unimportant (I can't spell "inconsequential" either). It is a special election and it only goes to a runoff if nobody gets 50%+1. If we can get John Laird a majority on 6/22 then he wins and is sworn in within days (as it is now vacant.) This is important and the Democratic organizations in the area know this. John Laird is an excellent candidate who will run a strong campaign. The goal is to win on 6/22!

52, male, disgruntled Democrat, CA-28

[ Parent ]
What are Raby's chances in AL-5?
Anyone know the district well enough to comment?

Congrats to Alabama
Well done Alabama on dumping Griffith and Davis. Here's hoping they get replaced by real Democrats.  

I think that Artur Davis' swan dive into the toilet
will be food for thought for other ambitious Dem representatives who are tempted to vote against their party on social justice issues like HCR for political reasons.  

68, Dem-leaning indie, MI-8

Glad Sparks won....
...but dissapointed in Dale Peterson and Roy Moore.  The election just won't be the same without them.

NY-13, Democrat. Blog @ http://infinitefunction.wordpr...

The
thugs and criminals might of won this battle, but they have not won the war!

19, Male, Independent, CA-12

[ Parent ]
Thousands of illegals who don't give a rip about Alabama
suck over the border, eliminated some family farms, and voted (not in English) for thugs and criminals.

[ Parent ]
Ah, will miss Dale Peterson and his wacky advertizing talent
Meanwhile, I confess to not having followed the AL-AG race. Why were the Republicans so unhappy with Troy King that they turfed him out that way?

38, Male, SP, NL / LMP, HU

NM
Do the governor and lt. gov nominees get stuck on a ticket together, or do they elect them separately?  

The former. eom


My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
How could you forget...
about the Alabama GOP primary for state treasurer between George Wallace, Jr., and Young Boozer?  :-)


Copyright 2003-2010 Swing State Project LLC

Primary Sponsor

You're not running for second place. Is your website? See why Campaign Engine is ranked #1 in software and support among Progressive-only Internet firms. http://www.mediamezcla.com/

Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


About the Site

SSP Resources

Blogroll

Powered by: SoapBlox