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SSP Daily Digest: 5/24 (Morning Edition)

by: DavidNYC

Mon May 24, 2010 at 8:00 AM EDT


  • AR-Sen: The SEIU is looking to finish the job, throwing down another $450K on behalf of Bill Halter. The union has spent almost $2 million dollars on this race so far.
  • AZ-Sen: Perhaps sensing some vulnerability on John McCain's part, ex-state Rep. and former AZ health department chief Cathy Eden is jumping into the Democratic primary, where she'll face former Tucson city councilman Rodney Glassman. Eden served in the state House in the early 1990s, then ran a brief campaign for the Dem nod for Arizona's open Senate seat in 1994, dropping out before the primary. She's also apparently tight with Janet Napolitano.
  • CT-Sen: So it turns out the NYT did have in its possession a copy of the full video of the Dick Blumenthal speech where he first said he served "during Vietnam," only later to cloud things by saying he served "in Vietnam." Yet despite having the entire video, the Times only posted a truncated clip showing the latter bit. Sheesh.
  • FL-Sen: The normally Dem-friendly Florida Education Association endorsed both Charlie Crist and Democrat Kendrick Meek for Senate on Friday, as a thank-you to Crist for his veto of a controversial teacher "merit pay" bill. Crist tried to parlay that victory by attempting to steal another endorsement from Meek, enthusiastically courting the backing of the AFL-CIO. Unfortunately for Crist, the union decided to endorse Meek and only Meek. (J)
  • KY-Sen: You probably saw that Rand Paul abruptly cancelled a "Meet the Press" appearance scheduled for yesterday. What you may not have known is that the only other people in recent history to do so are Louis Farrakhan and Saudi Arabia's Prince Bandar. Also, if you check out that first Politico link, you'll see exactly how uncomfortable Paul's post-primary "unity" roll-out has been. Even Trey Grayson couldn't stay on-message long enough to avoid admitting to reporters that the whole thing has been "awkward."
  • NV-Sen: This is the chicken that laid the golden egg: Nevada election officials have banned people from wearing chicken suits into polling places on primary day. Though Dems have been sending people in chicken costumes to Sue Lowden campaign events, no one had any apparent plans to do electioneering while so garbed. But what this means is another day of chickens in the news. I think that calls for some Chicken Dance!
  • PA-Sen: Weird - Joe Sestak repeated his claim that the Obama administration offered him a job so that he'd drop his challenge to Sen. Arlen Specter. The weird part is that White House press secretary Bob Gibbs, in response, said only that  "nothing inappropriate" happened, but didn't confirm or deny Sestak's claim.
  • WI-Sen: This is a surprise: One-time beer baron Dick Leinenkugel has dropped out of the race after less than a month. He endorsed teabaggy businessman Ron Johnson, which seems like an odd fit, since the Kugel had worked in Dem Gov. Jim Doyle's administration (a pretty big and obvious knock against him in a GOP primary). Hey, Beer Man - we hardly knew ye! Meanwhile, Johnson picked up the GOP's endorsement (by a wide margin) at the state Republican convention this past weekend. Terrence Wall and David Westlake are apparently still staying in the race, though.
  • FL-Gov: God bless chrome-domed creep Rick Scott. He's blasting McCollum on the airwaves for failing to support Arizona's new "papers, please" immigration law with sufficient gusto. Though I usually complain when tradmed accounts fail to detail the size of ad buys, since it's Scott, we can probably assume there's plenty of money behind it, as he's already spent approximately eight zillion dollars on the race. You know McCollum is sitting at home with his head in his hands, just wondering, "What the hell did I do to deserve this shit?"
  • Meanwhile, third wheel state Sen. Paula Dockery said she wouldn't put her personal wealth into her campaign - and also opined that she'd veto an abortion bill she voted for if she became governor. I'm not even sure John Kerry could come up with something that good.

  • ID-Gov: This is interesting - Dem Keith Allred raised $240K since January, outstripping Gov. Butch Otter's $193K. Otter has $201K CoH while Allred has $130K.
  • WI-Gov: Republican gubernatorial candidate Scott Walker was forced to return $44K in illegal contributions for an amazingly simple reason: a railroad exec used company money to reimburse employee donations to Walker! Talk about shady - and dumb.
  • HI-01: Colleen Hanabusa made it clear she's going to run again after Saturday's lost to Charles Djou, but Ed Case sounded surprisingly non-committal, saying only that on Monday, he planned to "wake up, go body surfing and cut the lawn. We'll figure out the rest of it later."
  • IN-03: Ala NY Gov. David Paterson and the NY-29 race, Gov. Mitch Daniels is reportedly considering holding the IN-03 special election in November, on the same day as the regular general election, in order to save the state money.
  • VA-09: Morgan Griffith, majority leader of the state House of Delegates, won the GOP nod at a district convention this past weekend on the first ballot. I'm not sure if there even would be a primary here on account of the convention, but in any case, it sounds like the other Republican candidates are rallying behind Griffith, who will take on Dem Rep. Rick Boucher in the fall.
  • NY-State Sen.: New York Dems seem to have landed a good recruit against the 78-year-old Sen. Hugh Farley in the 44th district upstate. Susan Savage, chair of the Schenectady county lege, is entering the race in this 50-48 Obama district.
  • Fundraising: The WaPo has a great interactive graphic illustrating corporate PAC giving to Dems vs. Republicans, dating all the way back to 1989.
  • Polling: A new Pew study shows that question responses in landline + cell phone surveys are starting to differ from landline-only answers, sometimes as much as four or five points (and in one case, seven). In general, landline-only surveys tend to underestimate Democratic support.
  • Passings: One-time GOP Rep. Donald "Buz" Lukens died on Saturday at age 79. He was best known for his conviction for paying a 16-year-old girl for sex, which led to his 1990 loss in the GOP primary to none other than John Boehner.
  • WATN?: Former senator and general d-bag Bob Kerrey may go and head up the Motion Picture Association of America. He'd follow in the footsteps of another former member of Congress from the middle of the country, Dan Glickman.
  • DavidNYC :: SSP Daily Digest: 5/24 (Morning Edition)
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    Sestak's comments
    The situation surrounding the job offer to Sestak is just really awkward for all parties involved.  I am not sure if this will matter in the end and doubt it will greatly effect the race, but is not the way Sestak wants to start the general election race by the Republicans talking about backroom deals.  

    23, male, center-right cynical Republican, PA-7

    If the Rs bring it up
    Sestak can use it to illustrate his independence from the White House, which true I voters will love. And I highly doubt that it  would turn off any Ds either.

    [ Parent ]
    All he'd have to say is:
    "When I was planning my run, the White House notified me that I was under consideration for [Navy Secretary/whatever], and I withdrew from consideration."

    [ Parent ]
    Virginia
    The convention was held in place of a primary.

    exactly
    Under Virginia election law, parties have the choice of deciding to nominate candidates by primary or by convention (for statewide and Congressional offices) -- a choice they can determine each year depending on what the party leadership wants to do.  That's why there was a convention in VA-9, but there will be a primary in VA-5.

    So unlike other states (Utah, Connecticut, Colorado, New York, etc) where the party convention can endorse but there is still a possible primary, in Virginia it is either one or the other, but not both.


    [ Parent ]
    It's why Tom Davis didnt bother in
    2008, he wasnt going to get snubbed at a convention.  And then Gilmore still goes on to barely squeak out the convention win.

    [ Parent ]
    Under Virginia law
    if there is an incumbent running for renomination he or she gets the choice of whether to hold a primary or convention. That's why the GOP held a convention to select Oliver North as its Senate candidate in 1994 but two years later used a primary to renominate John Warner for Senate in 1996. It was Warner's decision.

    [ Parent ]
    VA-9
    The vagaries of the Tea Party intrigue me. In VA-5, it's purity at all cost. In VA-9, it's follow the leader. I guess there's no reasoning with crazy.

    VA-9 is a more difficult race
    While we have a different opinion, they probably think of VA-5 as an easy pickup, therefore they can afford to insist on a pure candidate.  However, even the tea folk acknowledge that defeating Boucher will be challenging, so they go with the candidate they think is strongest.

    28, Unenrolled, MA-08

    [ Parent ]
    As homerun pointed out in the Weekend Open Thread
    If Daniels does decide to hold off on the special election in IN-03, that means the HI-01 special has resulted in a net gain of zero Republican seats.  

    Independent Socialist & Chair of SSP Cranky Indianian Hoosier Caucus, IN-09

    Re that Pew report
    I think it spells the end of the robopollsters.

    Sounds like the powers that be behind current copyright law are pretty damn tough.
    Wouldn't be an easy fight to deal with them, at all.

    party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

    ID-Gov
    This goes along with the poll we saw earlier that had Allred closing the gap on Otter. Is Otter in any sort of trouble here? Or are these things just giving us false hope up there?

    23, Male, PA-05 (summer) PA-12 (winter)

    I dunno.
    Speaking as someone who's lived nearby (Missoula, MT - close by Mountain West standards), there actually might be potential for an upset here.

    Looking at Allred's campaign page, he's doing everything right - the cowboy hat, the mountains, the simple and concise statements focusing on local economic issues, and the strict focus on his Idaho pedigree (People in the Mountain West HATE outsiders - something that Dems still haven't learned as they run California candidate after California candidate here, which is why Larry Grant tanked hard and Tester came damn close to losing because he got most of his money from Cali.)

    Otter has a lot of baggage, too. He's a former DC incumbent, with ties to the GOP political establishment going back decades (he was Lt. Gov from 1986-2000). He was barely elected Governor in 2006. He wants to kill all the gray wolves, too. Mainly, though, he's the epitome of "business as usual" for the Idaho political establishment. Half of the state also has Walt Minnick as its Congressman, likes him, and is now realizing that homegrown ID Dems get a lot more done for their pocketbooks than the Republicans they've been supporting for the last two decades.  

    I'd call this race Lean R for now, but it could turn into the upset of the cycle.  


    [ Parent ]
    She claims it is totally false.
    If it is true she is done. SC is not going to vote for another philandering Governor.

    If it is false it is one of the worst political hit jobs I've seen in a long time.

    If this guy lied about having an affair with her (which is what Nikki claims) and puts her husband and children through this kind of heartache for politics then it's probably one of the crulest things I have ever seen done in politics.

    I mean what kind of jackass would make something like this up for attention and to hurt a candidate politically?



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    [ Parent ]
    I absolutely agree
    Someone's pants are on fire here.  He seems like he's had an unsavory past, and just saying "It happened," and then not saying anything else raises some real red flags.  If he made this up, I hope Nikki Haley sues him for every penny he's worth or will ever make.

    That said, if it is true, in whole or in part, she's done.  It also would be a major blow to Erick Erickson, who has used Redstate to cheerlead for Haley, and as of today is 100% sticking behind her.


    [ Parent ]
    This is a weird story, one of them is lying through their teeth......
    Usually in these disputes over sexual matters, there is some spinning with ambiguous word choice used to leave misleading impressions.  This is done by one side or both sides.

    But here, there's nothing ambiguous.  Will Folks says he had an affair with Haley, she denies it categorically.  So someone is lying outright.

    And to make it weirder, Folks supports Haley for Governor and claims to be "outing" the affair to diffuse it as a political weapon against Haley, and him, that rivals are preparing to use.

    And to make it even weirder yet, see the AP story published in the Columbia newspaper today:  http://www.thestate.com/2010/0...

    The key grafs:

    Folks, a former Sanford spokesman, is a political consultant who now runs FITSNews.com, a conservative site that features occasionally insightful commentary, thinly sourced stories of state political intrigue and photos of women in bikinis. It refers to him as "Sic Willie," sports the tag line "Unfair. Imbalanced," and often promotes Haley's campaign.

    Haley is one of four Republicans seeking the party's gubernatorial nomination and the one whose views most closely reflect the tea party movement's. The primary is June 8.

    I have never seen a mainline news story editorialize so blatantly and strongly.  Not only does the story hammer Folks, but it just states categorically that Haley is the best fit for teabaggers!  I've read plenty of editorials that don't editorialize that much!

    43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


    [ Parent ]
    You're right that it is strange
    that neither side has left themselves any wiggle room or gray area -- one is telling the truth, and the other is a flat-out sleazy liar.  I don't really have a gut feeling on who I believe at this point, but I do find it disturbing that a prominent blogger can drop a bomb like this without presenting any evidence to back it up.

    [ Parent ]
    Which is why I think Folks might be a nutjob
    That's why I think Folks might be a nutjob. The mainline press cant just come out and call him a loon whose making this up but they can right the story in such a way that discredits him until they have prove either way. That's what this story does.

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    [ Parent ]
    You might be on to something......
    Folks is politically controversial in Republican circles for a variety of reasons, and he might be widely regarded as a crank, but mainline reporters can't come out and say that.  So they say it in the most "professional" way they can think of, by describing his blog with some of the less flattering facts about it.

    But I find equally curious that the AP story I linked also asserts as a flat-out fact that Haley comes the closest to the teabaggers' views.  All the GOP Gov candidates are very conservative, and the teabaggers themselves are a hodgepodge of various right-wing priorities whose only universally shared attribute is anger toward Obama and Congressional Democrats.  So for an AP reporter to simply declare Haley as their best-fit candidate is bizarre.

    43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


    [ Parent ]
    True or false, it's a good time for this to come out
    If it's true, there's plenty of time for GOP primary voters to regroup around McMaster or Barrett, and the only consequence is that Sarah Palin looks foolish.

    If it's false, Haley has two weeks to get her side of the story out and get the focus of the campaign back on the issues. It will be a good test of her as a candidate to see if she can recover quickly from unfounded accusations like these.

    20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08


    [ Parent ]
    It's really weird
    that Folks and Mr. Haley look so much alike--both bald white guys in their late 30s.

    [ Parent ]
    Just realized why Im finally finding out about
    all of these other states having similar nominating processes like MN.  The Digest!  Last cycle, we didnt have this beaut the whole time through so they probably all got missed reporting.

    Here's to the Digest, for making me realize my state is only a bit more instead of a lot more fucked up  compared to my neighbors in picking candidates!  (Guy with Leine name wouldve been better; money, not tea-baggery, extremely popular beer name.)


    Money?
    We don't know that he was raising good money. That could be a reason he dropped out. Even after he was in, the WI GOP and NRSC tried to recruit Johnson. The WI GOP Chairman even said he didn't like Leinenkugel.  

    [ Parent ]
    CT-SEN The whole video is just as bad (if not worst) as the clip the Times showed.
    I am sorry but I don't get why you keep seeming to imply the whole speech is some how exculpatory for Blumenthal.

    If anything It made me more disgusted. It's one thing that I almost could buy if he accidently left out the word "era" after saying he served in Vietnam.

    But in context of the opening part of the speech where he states he served in the Marines and then never mentioned the word RESERVES it is clear that he was trying to deceived his audience into think he served in a way that he clearly did not.

    If GW Bush made a speech where he claimed he served in the Air Force during the Vietnam era, shouted "Uno Ab Alto" and then claim he served in Vietnam, we would be all over that here.

    No matter how much you want to like Blumethal you can't just dismiss the slimy way he clearly tried to misrepresent his service.

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    Oh noes
    A politician that embelishes his record! That never ever happens. Just like the average person nver exaggerates in their resume and leaves stuff out during a job interview or on a date. You are blowing this way out of proportion.

    [ Parent ]
    I agree with conspiracy,
    You really are blowing this so far out of proportion. As someone else noted Blumenthal's biggest issue is that he has a tendency to use "in" and "during" as if they were interchangeable prepositions, but the truth of it is his record of service is well understood by those who have followed him over the years, and he has been generally honest, if not clear, that he did not serve in Vietnam.

    If anything this whole thing has made me feel more comfortable about Blumenthal's campaign, because he's done a fantastic rollback. He did it perfectly, one week aggressive damage control and counterattack to point out the inaccuracy, and then the next week it's time to be submissive and apologize to state veterans for not being clear enough and possibly misleading people at times.

    Either way Blumenthal's record of service is more impressive than Bill Clinton or George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the three of whom both beat War heroes to get reelected. I'm not worried. The fact that McMahon, before she's even gotten bashed for her far-right views and WWE stuff, is still not leading Blumenthal after all these hits, makes me feel better for November, especially if his campaign continues to improve as it has lately.  


    [ Parent ]
    Well I guess the best-case scenario with this is
    the Blumenthal campaign getting a wake-up call courtesy of this mess.

    party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

    [ Parent ]
    SEIU in AK
    Can someone explain to me why the SEIU is spending so much money in Arkansas? $2 million seems like a big investment just to make a point of forcing out an incumbent in a primary when chances are so slim of either Democrat winning in the general.

    Or do some people think Halter would actually have a shot?


    It's like this
    Lincoln is toast and Halter just might win. As it stands, I'd rate a contest between Lincoln and Boozman Likely-R and one between Halter and Boozman Lean-R. Secondly, it's a way for SEIU to punish someone who screwed them, as a warning to other Democrats that they could also be defeated if they act against unions' and workers' interests.

    By the way, Arkansas is AR and Alaska is AK.

    "I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
    --  Will Rogers  


    [ Parent ]
    Thanks For The Correction
    I'd probably wind up listing Alaska as AL...

    [ Parent ]
    You're welcome
    AL is Alabama. :-)

    "I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
    --  Will Rogers  


    [ Parent ]

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