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SSP Daily Digest: 5/20 (Morning Edition)

by: James L.

Thu May 20, 2010 at 8:07 AM EDT


  • AR-Sen: Democracy For America is out with a new poll that they commissioned from Research 2000 on the Democratic primary runoff, and it finds Halter ahead of Lincoln by 48-46. A couple of caveats, though: the runoff top lines are buried under a series of issues-related questions, which could suggest that the runoff was tested later in the question order; also, keep in mind that this was a snap overnight poll with no callbacks instead of their usual method. We'll probably be seeing plenty of polling out of Arkansas over the next three weeks, so I wouldn't get too excited about a quickie poll like this one.

    Meanwhile, Lincoln still has a pretty powerful weapon in her arsenal -- the unqualified support of Bill Clinton. Clinton will campaign with Lincoln in Little Rock on May 28.

  • CT-Sen: Markos does a very thorough job rounding up the independent push-back against the New York Times' over-the-top hit pieces against Democrat Richard Blumenthal.
  • FL-Sen: Here's an amusing slice of parochialism. NYC Mayor Mike Bloomberg, a famous independent, is refusing to endorse Charlie Crist's Senate candidacy because Crist vetoed a controversial teacher "merit pay" bill passed by the Florida state legislature.
  • KY-Sen: After initially vowing to seek a recanvass of the statewide vote, Democrat Dan Mongiardo has instead elected to concede the race to AG Jack Conway.

    Meanwhile, Rand Paul says that he now plans to be "best friends" with Mitch McConnell -- a dude whom he shared tense relations with during the primary season. The bigger story for Paul right now, though, seems to be the national attention that some of his uncompromising views are receiving. Think Progress takes a look at Paul's reservations with the 1964 Civil Rights Act, specifically the idea that private businesses can't be as racist as they want to be. (The original source of that nugget, a Louisville Courier-Journal editorial interview, offers a pretty damning assessment of Paul: "The trouble with Dr. Paul is that despite his independent thinking, much of what he stands for is repulsive to people in the mainstream.")

  • PA-Gov: How's this for some thin-skinned bullshit? Republican Attorney General (and gubernatorial nominee) Tom Corbett is subpoenaing Twitter to provide "any and all subscriber information" on two user accounts who have been anonymously criticizing Corbett in missives under 140 characters long. Corbett is apparently going after these two users for their "violations of the laws of Pennsylvania" -- whatever that means. It sure doesn't look like an abuse of office for a politician to use the justice system to silence his critics, does it?
  • ID-01: Moose Lady to the rescue! Sarah Palin is returning to Idaho on Friday to help pump up the flagging candidacy of Vaughn Ward, whose bid for Congress hit a few snags recently, including allegations that he's actually a closeted Democrat.
  • IN-03: Were you wondering how disgraced GOP Rep. Mark Souder got dimed out of office? Souder's colleague in the Indiana delegation, fellow Republican Mike Pence, effectively claimed his scalp yesterday, saying that he directed the House Ethics Committee to the attention of Souder's philandering ways. That's some stone cold shit right there!
  • NY-14: Lake Research for Carolyn Maloney (5/10-12, likely voters):

    Carolyn Maloney (D-inc): 75
    Reshma Saujani (D): 7
    Undecided: 17
    (MoE: ±4.9%)
  • PA-06: We missed this in yesterday's round-up, but Doug Pike has conceded the Democratic nod to take on Rep. Jim Gerlach to Manan Trivedi. Pike also issued an unqualified endorsement of Trivedi for the general election.
  • SC-05: Veteran Dem Rep. John Spratt is hitting back hard against recent NRCC attacks that have attempted to label Spratt as an "amnesiac" with a faulty memory. Spratt, who recently disclosed that he has been diagnosed with early-stage Parkinson's disease, is calling the NRCC's missives an attempt to sow doubt about his health, which he calls "beneath contempt". Even Spratt's Republican foe in the race, state Sen. Mick Mulvaney, attempted to put some daylight between himself and the NRCC.
  • VA-05: Feda Kidd Morton, a favorite of the teabagger scene, is in a bit of hot water for an opinion piece she wrote for a local newspaper back in February that turned out to be heavily cribbed from an article written by syndicated conservative columnist Joseph Sobran. In response, Morton says she did no wrong because, "restating principles of the Constitution is no different than restating the Ten Commandments." Yuh huh. And if you are a Scottish Lord, then I am Mickey Mouse.
  • James L. :: SSP Daily Digest: 5/20 (Morning Edition)
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    Wow, Republicans are getting testy.
    Between Corbett's abuse of power and the NRCC's crap against Spratt.

    Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

    Fine with me.
    If they keep throwing tantrums like this in races they're "supposed" to win, it just makes it more likely that they won't.  

    [ Parent ]
    The Casablanca blog...
    The Casablanca blog has been repeatedly accusing officials including Corbett of violations, but it refuses to provide evidence of such violations.  Like reporters, they do not have a privilege to preventing them from being forced to turn over evidence.  Either they should turn over the evidence, be jailed for contempt or admit they have been making up bullshit about Republicans and Democrats.  I am sick of people alleging everyone in this state is a crook without providing any evidence.  Their are plenty of crooks in this state, but making claims and then refusing to aid in the administration of justice does not help weed them out.  If you have evidence come forward with it because honestly if you attack and hide, it undermines the entire pursuit of corruption in Pennsylvania on both sides of the political spectrum.  Not saying I agree with these tactics, but at a certain point, if these people have evidence and they are withholding it from the proper authorities, they should be held in contempt.

    23, male, center-right cynical Republican, PA-7

    [ Parent ]
    IN-03
    Yes, Mike Pence is a stone cold bastard. Anything to prove he's the biggest man in the Indiana delegation so people will back his doomed bid to become the GOP Vice Presidential nominee in 2012. He does a distressingly good GW Bush impersonation, too. (And not just on policy issues; the video is floating around Youtube somewhere. Sociopaths of a feather, after all...)

    At least the decency level in our delegation has gone up a notch with the resignations of Souder and especially Steve "terrible twos" Buyer. I'm still waiting for Watermelon Dan to retire in 2012 after realizing that his entire district is going to try to primary him AGAIN, and for Pence to do us all a favor by quitting the House so that he can win an impressive 1% of the vote in the 2012 primaries, Duncan Hunter style. Then the circle will be complete...at least until those districts elect the next batch of crazies.  


    CA-Gov/Sen: Whitman up 9 over Poizner, Fiorina up 2 over Campbell, Boxer and Brown with modest leads
    More like that
    And I can move Boxer back to leans Dem.

    [ Parent ]
    I've never been worried about Boxer, personally.


    [ Parent ]
    I always thought she would win
    Even with a tossup ranking somebody is ahead.

    [ Parent ]
    I too have always thought that Boxer will win.
    She's a very canny campaigner, as she's proved time and again.

    In her campaign against Matt Fong she held back her ads while staying behind in the polls until the very last minute, and then past the last minute. Finally, with exquisite timing, she poured in her ads after her opponent had exhausted his resources, and she turned the polls virtually overnight. She won going away. Not that different from the Sestak campaign just concluded.

    It seems pretty certain now that Republican Senatorial candidate Tom Campbell is dying a slow death. He's not insane, unlike most Republican candidates these days, but he is rigid and self-righteous, a cross between Lieberman and Rand Paul in personality. I don't mourn his loss. I imagine Boxer's opponent will be the strange Carly Fiorina, who comes across in her ads as something like a very stylish visitor from another planet. She'll be well financed but personally flawed and stuck with Republican positions in a Democratic state. Boxer will know how to win this.

    The gubernatorial race is especially interesting on the Republican side. Meg Whitman, who has a sunny personality compared to Fiorina, has poured her tens of millions into her campaign with a profligacy I personally have never seen before in a lifetime of watching California politics. The ads shout, "like me, trust me." Yet Steve Poizner, spending only 20 million or so of his personal wad, compared to Meg's 70 million or whatever it is by now, is gaining in the polls and may well defeat the candidate from Fortune 500. Each, naturally, is trying to out-conservative the other, despite centrist pasts for both. Poizner, appropriately named, has been particularly toxic on immigration issues, preventing one from sympathizing with his underdog campaign.

    If Poizner does win, it will be an amazing outcome. From the beginning Whitman seemed to be running the perfect campaign--compelling and omnipresent--whereas Fiorina seemed to be in a permanent alcoholic daze or something. Whitman was organized and ready to go, whereas Fiorina seemed to be just back from a weekend with Lindsay Lohan. Yet at the end of the day, as we Hollywood types say, it looks as though Fiorina will win and Whitman may well lose. Sometimes bright and sunny doesn't carry the day.

    My bet is on Brown and Boxer in the final. There's no reason to think that California today is any less Democratic than it was in 2008. None of the Republican candidates have the je ne sais quoi of Arnold.


    [ Parent ]
    Brown's lead over Poizner is double digits
    so it isn't modest, and I suspect as Whitman freefalls that within two weeks Brown will be double digits over her too.

    [ Parent ]
    It's pretty sad how the Times has fallen
    This, and the McCain affair story in '08, are just two prime examples.  It's not so much the stories themselves, but the total lack of perspective and proportion.

    Agree, Paleo, and in fact I'm embarrassed I bought the Blumenthal hit......
    I bought it hook, line, and sinker, because standing alone the article was credible, looked well-researched, and was damning, and I trust the NYT as one of the nation's best papers.

    But it's now obvious they didn't really put all the relevant facts out there, and Blumenthal's rhetorical history and intent regarding his military service is at worst ambiguous.

    I don't think the NYT was out to "get" Blumenthal, I think likely the reporters involved and maybe their immediate superiors got overexcited with what based on early research looked like a big scoop, and they failed to temper their excitement to make sure they had all the facts out there.  It's bad journalism nonetheless.

    43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


    [ Parent ]
    Boy, did I screw up also. *embarrassed*
    That makes me wonder if I should ever pay attention to the MSM ever again.

    My blog
    Twitter
    Scribd
    28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


    [ Parent ]
    Don't get me wrong, I'm still confused and concerned on Blumenthal's intent......
    One's military service is something to be careful in speaking about, and whether one served in a war (even if not in combat) is something to be even more careful about.

    And Blumenthal definitely "misspoke" MANY times, not just once or twice, and not always just misusing one or two words which can be done innocently when talking extemporaneously.

    So I do have some remaining concern whether, feeling self-conscious about his (routine for young men in his time) record of avoidance of Vietnam, he was trying to mislead audiences into thinking his military service was more than it was.  Maybe not conniving and systematic, but in moments of self-consciousness, he spontaneously chose words and phrases to mislead.

    It's important to note that before my time, in the 1950s and early 60s, military service was simply expected of able young men.  I once read a Congressman in the 90s, talking about his youth, say that military service was expected to be seen on resumes when applying for jobs in the 50s.

    So that was the culture of Blumenthal's early life that his generation rebelled from.  And someone of his generation who intended to enter politics might have felt just a wee bit self-conscious about avoiding service in war!

    So yes, I'm still concerned he was less-than-honest.  But I'm no longer on the "he lied about serving in Vietnam!" bandwagon.  It's now clear there was no consistent pattern of lying that supports any conclusion of autobiographical fraud.

    43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


    [ Parent ]
    Paul and Toomey are an advertising dream
    With their far right economic views.  Democrats should start getting the ads together against Mr. Libertarian and Mr. Club for Growth.

    I like our chances in PA
    I just can't see Toomey winning statewide in PA.

    KY will be tougher, although Paul gives us a fighting chance there.


    [ Parent ]
    While I think Sestak will win
    I'd predict a nailbiter.

    One thing that concerns me - with the competitiveness of the D primary, there were 1.04m votes all told.

    In the non-competitive R primary, there were .82m votes.

    there's a 4:3 D registration advantage. But with even a competitive primary, a smaller --portion-- of Ds turned out.

    So will western PA Ds stick with Sestak after Toomey follows up on Arlen's NRA ad?

    Will former Rs in SE PA stick with the D ticket, now that the person some say is their hero (Specter) has gone down to defeat?

    It's going to take a lot of re-defining of Toomey. Could Toomey parry negative ads by coming out for Kagen's confirmation? I don't think so, but countering these kinds of moves by Toomey would be my biggest concern.


    [ Parent ]
    tietack, you're not comparing apples with apples in PA......
    Not dissing you, because on the surface your concern would appear valid.

    But what undermines your concern are the PA exit polls the past couple cycles.  Look at party ID, and you'll find Democratic vote share is in the low-to-mid-40s, even though party registration in the state is 51% Democratic.  Republican party ID in the exit polls is roughly in the mid-30s, higher than their roughly 30% voter registration share.

    I think this reflects that there are substantial numbers of registered Democrats who rarely vote for Democrats at the federal level (and perhaps for high-profile state offices, too), and don't self-identify as Democrats in polling notwithstanding their party registration.  And I think a place like PA-12 is a perfect illustration of this.

    43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


    [ Parent ]
    You present a reasonable explanation
    especially w/r/t western PA, I can believe that there are more DINOs, at least relative to the current makeup of the D party as a whole. I further suggest that region is closer politically to Arkansas, or at least WV, instead of Philly.

    Nevertheless, I think what you say is consistent with my basic point, that Ds in PA on the federal level have no great advantages, that Sestak-Toomey will be a very close race.

    Unless attacks painting Toomey as the extremist take hold among the electorate (and I'm hopeful that they will), I suspect the race will be classical swing - with Rs and DINOs together making up about the same proportion of the electorate as regular Ds, leaving true indies up for grabs.


    [ Parent ]
    Well, you're still off a little, Dems DO have a REAL advantage......
    You're partly right, it's not a "great" advantage for Democrats, but it's a real and significant one nonetheless.

    Look, PA is a blue lean.  Definitely blue, but definitely no more than a "lean."  That's why Democratic Presidential nominees have carried it SIX times in a row, even Dukakis.  And it's actually a little bluer now than back then.

    More precisely, exit polls:  2008, party ID was 44D-37R-19I; 2006 it was 43D-38R-19I; and 2004 it was 41D-39R-20I.  So a Democratic advantage that's never huge, but real and growing over time.

    Ultimately yes, it's a swing state, but not really down-the-middle.  And I posit that the state is more willing to vote for a liberal than a conservative, all other things being equal.

    I really like Sestak as a nominee here, especially because he's clearly successfully positioned himself as an "outsider" when that's helpful.  The media annoints him as such, to an extent I marvel at it.  Chuck Todd and his staff on the MSNBC "First Read" blog are the sharpest pundits in corporate media, and I was astounded how much in their "First Thoughts" post yesterday morning they bought into Sestak as "unconventional" and otherwise an outsider.  In truth he's a cookie cutter Senate recruit, but he's established himself otherwise, and that's going to help him a lot.  Throw in that Toomey himself has to claim having been a Congressman to make it impossible for him to distinguish himself on being outside "the establishment," and the fact that it's such an easy hit tying Toomey to Wall Street since Toomey spent his post-Congressional career as a derivatives trader, and Sestak is primed for success if he raises enough money and messages well.

    If I had to put money on this race, I'd bet on Sestak beating Toomey without flinching.

    I've contemplated this week doing a diary on how Sestak and Rand Paul actually are not the "outsiders" they're deemed to be, but that's too much for this already-long comment!

    43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


    [ Parent ]
    George H. W. Bush
    carried PA in 1988.  The Dems have carried PA 5 times in a row.

    40, male, Democrat, NC-04

    [ Parent ]
    Dukakis didn't win PA in 1988


    [ Parent ]
    He came very close


    [ Parent ]
    Sure
    Which supports the fact it is Dem leaning in a neutral year.

    [ Parent ]
    Thanks, my mistake. I blame Dave Leip's color coding!......
    Leip uses red for Democrats and blue for Republicans.  He really needs to flip those.  So I glanced too fast and got confused.

    43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10

    [ Parent ]
    Then again, the US is the one being sort of weird
    Most of the rest of the world has the left-of-center political party as red and the right-of-center party as blue.

    Though I prefer this way, just because I like blue more than I like red as a color :D

    Politics and Other Random Topics

    24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


    [ Parent ]
    I think we're just talking nuance
    Which is why I've been saying -- all along-- that Sestak pulls it out in the end. I don't think Specter would have won, but that's now a more trivial discussion.

    Good data w/r/t exit polls. Thank you. That's a 2, 5, and 7 point advantage in '04, '06, and '08 respectively.

    I don't believe that D advantage will be 7 points in '10. If I'm hearing you right, I think you agree with that.

    I think it'll be closer to 1 or 2 (given red trends in western PA), and if I'm hearing you right, you're thinking it might be closer to 5, but that's splitting hairs, especially with indies at about 20, and the variables of the economy.

    While D Presidential candidates have carried PA 5 times in a row, that's like 5 straight heads in a coin flip - where the coin is slightly off-balance. Two of the flips were further weighted by Perot, one by exceptional turnout for President Obama.

    Perhaps PA is like our version of Missouri.


    [ Parent ]
    PA still blue-ening
    I think Sestak wins this in a walk to be honest.  I dont think Toomey can go all that negative on Sestak, at least not in regards to military service and attendance in Congress, maybe he has something else up his sleeve.

    I think the Dems will hold their current 12 districts.  I really think the DCCC will step in and force Kanjo to run a better campaign, and there's only so much Barletta is going to be able to rely on RCCC for this being his 3rd time around.

    As for PA-06, I'm hopeful that Trivedi can hold down Gerlach's margins in Chester county, as its the recipe for flipping this seat with a Trivedi victory.


    [ Parent ]
    don't forget Portman!
    the ads against Mr. Former OMB-Director for Bush should be good too  

    [ Parent ]
    IA-Gov: new financial reports are in
    Terry Branstad raised the most money, but Culver has the most on hand. The other two Republicans lag far behind Branstad. Details at Bleeding Heartland.

    updated that post
    to add all contributors of at least $10K to Culver or Branstad during the latest reporting period.

    About half of Culver's fundraising came from a $750K check from the DGA. Culver raised some significant money from labor unions too. Branstad had a lot more individual donors of at least $10K, but it's easier to raise money when you are ahead in polls, and he built relationships with lots of rich Republicans during his four terms as governor.


    [ Parent ]
    request to the mods
    Can this weekend's open thread be Lost related in honor of the series finale?  This way we can discuss the series finale in addition to politics.  maybe with this video?  Warning, spoilers.  

    http://www.cracked.com/blog/th...

    Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.


    Don't forget 24!
    My two favorites are ending on back to back nights.

    20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

    [ Parent ]
    better make two open threads then
    lords know you all will clog up any thread with +300 comments when Lost is involved.

    [ Parent ]
    Sorry
    No one can discuss LOST -- I'm serious! Some of us are many episodes behind and don't want any spoilers. I'm not kidding when I say that banning is an option if anyone decides to talk spoilers!

    [ Parent ]
    Gee whiz
    Guess we can't even discuss last night's "Dinner Impossible" episode, which would include spoilers for those who haven't made it to Lost season 3, I think.

    [ Parent ]
    Nelson Munson voice
    "HA-HA!"   :)

    I was in all the musicals and band and choir in high school and every school has their own "musical" clique of people who always get the top roles and who make everyone feel like shit for having to be in shows with them.  We had a particularly strong clique of girls and they first ruined Napoleon Dynamite for most of us from their constant quoting of it.  And then they moved onto Lost and bleh, I never want to see that show, ever.  And then to hear about Polar Bears about Dinosaurs and the Island is alive or something (maybe? I really have no clue) and that was enough for me.


    [ Parent ]
    Oh man
    I loved tuesday's episode when the smoke monster and the polar bear did a Duet on that sad life they have lived on the LOST Island.  

    I can't wait until the Finale when Jack and Locke have a rock off to the death that was hinted at during the credits.  I'm going to guess Jack will play Stairway, while Locke plays Green Grass and High Tides.

    20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)


    [ Parent ]
    My request
    I would luck to see an open thread related to "Chuck". I love that show. I believe next week is the season finale. Fun fact about it is that the actor that does Shaw looks somewhat similar to Brad Ellsworth.  

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

    [ Parent ]
    How predictable was this?
    http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

    Is that all you got, Scotty?  If you make the sample 100% Republican, you might get a (slightly) more lopsided number.  Come on, Scotty!! Set that narrative!! Turn up the juice on that turnout model!! We know you can do better than this crap!!  25 points!! Pshaw!!

    Coming to a poll near you (and by soon I mean within 24 hours) - Toomey suddenly up big over Sestak for no f@%king good reason at all...

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


    THIS level of shark-jumping is more than even I'd predict! Crosstabs......
    Believe it or not, I give my money to this clown for crosstabs.  Consider it my gift to my fellow Dems for the purpose of scrutiny.

    One of the poll questions:  "Is the United States the last, best hope of mankind?"  Seriously.  I'm not making this up.

    Oh, and he's got Democrats giving Paul 53% favorability, and even liberals giving him 42% favorability.

    Under "race," Rasmussen offers choices of white, black, and "other," and "other" favors Paul over Conway 80-7.  No, that is not a typo.  And Rasmussen has Paul winning 25% of black voters.

    Horseshit is always routine in Rasmussen polling, and this is just the latest example.

    But really, TWENTY-FIVE points?!  Scotty Rasmussen is risking everyone laughing at him over that.

    43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


    [ Parent ]
    Apparently Rand Paul
    is the last, best hope for mankind.

    For that reason, Democrats, liberals, and people of color love Rand Paul and hate the Civil Rights Act because it picks on poor wittle private businesses who just want to exercise their rights to invidious discrimination.

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


    [ Parent ]
    If Rand Paul is our best hope, then we're fucked.


    Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

    [ Parent ]
    It's getting to the point...
    ...where Lou Dobb's skewed, biased "polls" with loaded questions are just as accurate as Rasmussen.

    Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

    [ Parent ]
    He doesn't care
    He's getting tons of money, probably from some right-wing institute or philanthropist, to take all these "polls."  Plus, he's got entree into the right-wing echo chamber, which drives political news coverage.

    [ Parent ]
    KY
    Wow, worst poll ever.

    29/D/Male/NY-01

    [ Parent ]
    Funny you should mention that
    I have it on good authority that Rassmussen is going to release a poll later today showing

    Toomey 92%
    Sestak  8%



    [ Parent ]
    That's ridiculous.
    There has to be some undecideds.  87-3 I would buy, and that's only because Rasmussen accidentally polled 5 members of Sestak's immediate family.

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    And he reported that they were the ones who were undecided


    [ Parent ]
    Actually, he has Sestak by 4
    http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

    20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

    [ Parent ]
    Which helps bring Rasmussen's average bias
    back to fudgeable territory. Scotty must fear the stats of the Nate of he goes too far off the reservation.

    [ Parent ]
    Rasmussen
    King of the exaggerated bounce. Lots of examples of this. Deeds leading in his first poll after the primary last year. Hickenlooper after he announced this year. I reckon his next poll in PA will be back to a tie and KY will be about a 10-15 point Paul lead.

    [ Parent ]
    Yes
    His polls tend to have insane swings that make no sense.

    29/D/Male/NY-01

    [ Parent ]
    I read maybe on 538
    that Rasmussen's weird results may have less to do with bias and more to do with his one-day, no callback polls.  The suggestion is that it skews heavily towards people who are in tune and very interested in the race, and thus eager to give their opinions to a pollster on the first try.  This leads to big Republican margins in states like AR and KY, where those people are likely to be very conservative and where a lot of lower information, less ideological, lunch pail Democrats will be tuned out until closer to election day, and thus less eager to stay on the phone with a pollster.

    His results seem to be different in bluer states like CA and NY, where there are heavier proportions of informed, interested, and ideological Democrats.

    Anyway, it's a theory that makes sense on the surface to me.

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


    [ Parent ]
    I think this is exactly right.


    [ Parent ]
    It's called CYA
    I'm sure it pained him to do so, but even he knows that he has to throw the politicos a bone once in a while so they'll keep on reporting his results.

    [ Parent ]
    SC-Gov: Nikki Haley surges to double-digit lead in primary
    Hmm... in combination w/ the Paul poll
    The results for Rand Paul would not please McConnell.

    The results for Nikki Haley would not please the R establishment in SC....

    Who is Rasmussen echoing? Hint hint...


    [ Parent ]
    NY-Sen: fmr. CIA Officer latest to challenge Schumer
    PA-06: Thank you Doug Pike for being gracious.
    Hope to see Mongiardo throwing his weight behind Conway soon. while the senate will be full of lulz at first if Rand Paul is elected, I'm sure over the course of 6 years it will get old pretty quickly.

    21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
    please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


    PA-Sen race: Ras has Sestak up by 4
    http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

    Okay, I'm surprised.  I'm surprised because I find this result to be fairly accurate at this time.  Am I the only one?

    40, male, Democrat, NC-04


    To be fair
    I think we offered similar points ourselves.

    [ Parent ]
    oops did not mean to reply meant it as a new comment
    sorry

    [ Parent ]
    This is bullshit.
    R2K should be ashamed and should never, never do this again.  I hate all the gamesmanship that is going on with polling.  It is undemocratic and pernicious.

    I also think it's bullshit that the R2K/dKos poll tracks favorability but not job approval for Obama.  They poll everything else under the sun in the weekly tracker, why not track job approval?  Seems like it's because it's a lower number less favorable for Democrats.

    Pollsters everywhere - cut this shit out!  Yeah, you too Scotty!

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


    [ Parent ]
    Absolutely agree
    Have raised the favorability/approval issue with Steve Singiser and was not happy with the response to say the least.

    [ Parent ]
    No
    Probably means he's really ahead by 10.  Scott R. is smart enough to know that he has to throw in a truly "fair and balanced" poll result now and then, or the politicos won't continue to take his polling seriously.

    [ Parent ]
    If that's the case, Sestak got a considerable bounce from the primary
    And I wouldn't doubt that he would receive a good bounce in the polls.  After all he took out a 30 year incumbent that had a significant lead in the polls only a few months before the primary.

    I hope you are right.  If this is the case, I could see PA-Sen being moved to Lean Dem before too long.  I'd like to see some other polls on this race.

    40, male, Democrat, NC-04


    [ Parent ]
    Feda Kidd Morton
    is a total political amateur (she's a high school teacher, I believe), so it's not surprising she's making gaffes like that. I don't know why she's so loved by the teabag set, though. She did get the endorsement of one Republican State Delegate, Brenda Pogge... Unfortunately, she doesn't live in the district. She's from York County, a hundred miles east.

    To clarify: Pogge is from York County.


    [ Parent ]

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