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MN-Gov: Emmer Clinches GOP Nomination

by: Crisitunity

Fri Apr 30, 2010 at 6:51 PM EDT


The GOP endorsing convention seemed to wrap things up pretty quickly: state Rep. Tom Emmer will be their gubernatorial nominee.

To chants of "Marty! Marty!", Rep. Marty Seifert bows out of the Republican gubernatorial race, and endorsed Rep. Tom Emmer, R-Delano, for the party's gubernatorial endorsement.

"Put your Emmer stickers on!" Seifert told the roaring crowd.

After Emmer had gotten to 56% on the second ballot (60% was needed to endorse), apparently that was enough for Seifert to pull the plug, in the face of Emmer's last-minute momentum. Emmer, considerably more conservative than the moderate Republicans who are usually the only type who can win statewide, can expect a tough go of it in the general -- especially if Independence Party candidate Tom Horner soaks up a big share of moderate votes. (Seifert would have faced the same problem, but Emmer, who just got a Sarah Palin endorsement, seems especially out-of-whack with his state's preferences.)  
Crisitunity :: MN-Gov: Emmer Clinches GOP Nomination
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MN-Gov: Emmer Clinches GOP Nomination | 21 comments
MAK
Of course Rasmussen polling (3/10) has MAK as the only Dem losing to Emmer in the general.
MAK
isn't our candidate quite yet.
[ Parent ]
Emmer's
saving grace here is the DFL nominated a lightweight of a candidate called Margaret Anderson Kelliher.  

19, Male, Independent, CA-12
MN
Sounds like good news.  However, I feel like we are going to have a bad candidate no matter what with Dayton and Margaret Anderson Kelliher being the front runners.  I think Ryback would have been perfect for this race.

29/D/Male/NY-01
[ Parent ]
But if she is the candidate, we have to back her up.
We can't just throw up our hands in frustration.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!
[ Parent ]
I'm
not saying we should write this race off. But with Rybak not only would the base would of been fired up he wouldn't be as vulnerable as MAK is. MAK is the speaker of the house, you can bet Pawlenty in order to help get Emmer elected will place MAK in some between a rock and a hard place situations in order to derail her in November like forcing the Minnesota house to shut down and pointing the finger at MAK.

19, Male, Independent, CA-12
[ Parent ]
MAK is the only who could lose
Dayton, even with his history of suck, really does have a great name within the state.  People dont view him as a douchebag politician, but just a nice guy who has buckets load of money to introduce himself to us.

Entenza will go for the jugular, simple as that.

MAK, even she'll beat Emmer.  Handedly Id predict.  Emmer is entirely too extreme for MN.  The cities will go more DFL than ever before, the exurbs will eat his shit up, the suburbs will think he's a lunatic, and Greater MN would probably go with MAK as well.

I can see Emmer barely nudging a victory (we tend to blow races so I always predict the GOP as barely winning) vs a 10% blow-out.  If it was a better cycle, it could even be a Klobuchar style blow-out as I can see MAK being bland and standard as Klobuchar, but with a good twist that makes her really popular.  (Klobuchar's is she is funny and she is so Minnesotan it hurts.  If there were potluck, she'd bring the potato salad and tater-tot hotdish.)

[ Parent ]
I'd bring a salad garnished with tofu and avocado!


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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)
[ Parent ]
So you're saying...
Minnesotans like potatoes?  :-)

BTW, I'll be attending a fundraiser tonight here in West Hollywood for Sen. Al Franken.  :-D

[ Parent ]
I spose I shouldve said or instead of and
Potato salad is appropriate at any MN pot-luck.  Every funeral and bbq Ive ever been to have had potato salad.  We love the stuff.  I always make sure there is potato salad at any bbq I go to; it's just key.

Tater-tot hotdish is a popular dinner-time meal.  And uses the word hot-dish instead of casserole wording. I wiki'd it even; there are three sections for hot dish and the third is pop culture and it is all about Minnesota.

[ Parent ]
And actually, that is increasingly a Greater MN thing
The suburbs are getting much more higher-end than potato salad, not that they wouldnt enjoy a bite.  But the fact that she appeals to the potato salad, tater-tot hotdish crowd is why she does so well.

(Wow, I love where I took like this.)

[ Parent ]
I loves me some Tator Tot Hotdish


"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan
[ Parent ]
Republicans in the midwest Really just
handing Democrats a blessing, candidate wise. I mean for Governor, John Kaisch, Dillard, Emmer and, (likely), Peter Hoekstra? For Senate Rand Paul, Dan Coats, and Rob Portman? Only thing they didn't mess up unfortunately was with Mark Kirk.

So, about Horner, does that mean there's finally a candidate for the IP who doesn't disproportionately take votes from the Democrats and allow the Republican to win with just the basic coalition of conservatives? (Ala Tim Pawlenty in 2002, where he won with just 44% of the vote, and 2006 where he won with just 47% of the vote).

Don't personally get why people are down on MAK. She looks like a young woman who has the potential to be a strong star for the DFL. She's been a State House leader during a period of massive DFL gains, (that didn't translate into a similarly large Presidential margin for Obama, partially because he never really campaigned to rack up votes), and she has connections to both the Blue Earth county area and Hennepin county.  

MAK
I am not as down on MAK as some here but there are some concerns about her. She is an uninspiring speaker, being the Speaker of the House is not exactly a plus when politicians are as unpopular as they are now and she did have some minor problems with some questionable fundraising.

On the plus side she is a solid progressive and I think being a woman will be a big plus for her. Times are changing in Minnesota, after a long history  of not electing women to major offices things have changed dramatically the past decade. The most popular politician in Minnesota is Amy Kloubachar and Betty McCollum and Michelle Bachmann are very popular with their respective wings of the political spectrum. I think a lot of Independent women will be drawn to MAK, especially when compared a lost in time male politician like Emmer.

"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan

[ Parent ]
The one issue that bugs me about her
is how terrible she did as Speaker.  We got one victory with the transportation bill.  Which while huge, its hard to ignore getting stomped on left and right up and down.  I just dont know what even got done, it was all grid-lock and vetoes.

Pawlenty wanting to run for President sure did make this tougher, but she very clearly couldve done better than getting stomped on on every issue, save for the transportation bill.  The Override 6 thing probably killed MAK's chance of being able to garner the 3 or whatever votes she needed to override.

I think she'll be able to win though; Emmer is not electable.

[ Parent ]
We need a new poll for MN-Gov race

I wish remember the results of the last no-Rasmussen poll for this race:

M Dayton 41% N Coleman 31%
M Dayton 41% M Seifert 25%
M A Kelliher 33% N Coleman 31%

Unfortunately we have not no-Rasmussen numbers for Emmer.

I think this race looks so good for win.

call me a little ignorant of mn's processes but
is their convention like the DFL one where it's not an official nomination but an endorsement with a primary in august, or a true nomination?  Furthermore, if it is an endorsement and emmer's turns out to be a dud will anyone attempt to run in the primary?

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.
It's an endorsement, not a nomination.
I doubt anyone would bother to challenge him in the primary; it's been done before (for the right to get demolished by Tim Walz in 2008, for example), and the endorsee won the primary handily.
[ Parent ]
A reminder...
Emmer said:

"I don't think you can call yourself a freedom-loving American and be a Democrat," Emmer said. "I don't think that's a grassroots Democrat who says now 'That's not what I voted for, this isn't the America I want.' It's the leaders of the Democrat party."

http://www.marshallindependent...

It'll be interesting to see how he positions himself in the general, especially with the likelihood of a moderate-conservative Independence Party candidate (which might sweep-up the center that Emmer might otherwise try to tilt towards to get more support).

"Democrat party"
Shudder.
[ Parent ]
I hope he gets stomped.


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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)
[ Parent ]
MN-Gov: Emmer Clinches GOP Nomination | 21 comments

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