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SSP Daily Digest: 4/5 (Morning Edition)

by: DavidNYC

Mon Apr 05, 2010 at 8:00 AM EDT


Welcome to the workin' week!

  • FL-Sen: Rudy & Rubio, together at last. Giuliani will become the latest johnny-come-lately to endorse Marco.
  • GA-Sen: Johnny Isakson, who had been hospitalized twice in one week, is now back home.
  • KY-Sen: Weirdo Rand Paul is launching a 1,000-point ad buy (that's big) attacking Trey Grayson as a pro-bailout insider too cozy with DC. The primary is about six weeks away. On the Dem side, The Lexington Herald-Leader reviewed state records and found that Lt. Gov. Dan Mongiardo has spent four times as much taxpayer money on travel, hotels and meals as AG Jack Conway. Mongiardo has also racked up expenses for the security detail that travels with him (Conway doesn't have security).
  • NV-Sen: Jon Ralston says that federal investigators are looking to nail John Ensign for "structuring," which is "a broad term that refers to the crime of creating financial transactions to evade reporting requirements." Ensign, you'll recall, had his parents give a $96,000 "gift" to his mistress instead of reporting it as a severance payment. The DoJ is moving very methodically, though, ever-mindful of the wretchedly botched prosecution of ex-Sen. Ted Stevens (which was thrown out on appeal due to prosecutorial misconduct.)
  • SD-Sen: Ugh. Not only did no Democrats file to run against John Thune, but he's become the first senator in South Dakota history to run without major-party opposition. My advice to John Thune: Save your $6 million warchest for a 2012 presidential run.
  • UT-Sen: Sen. Bob Bennett and his Republican challengers faced off in a debate last Friday, which saw Bennett defend earmarks and get attacked for supporting an individual mandate to buy health insurance. The GOP state convention, which will choose a nominee, is May 8th.
  • AL-Gov: Hah - Artur Davis, fresh off his vote against healthcare reform, is now pushing a petition on his website attacking Alabama state legislators who voted to "obstruct" the new bill.
  • IA-Gov: Republican pollster Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies has a survey of the Iowa gubernatorial race, showing Terry Branstand crushing incumbent Dem Chet Culver 50 to 34. Culver leads Bob Vander Plaats 40-39 and Rod Roberts 38-32. It's unclear to me whether Magellan was polling for fun or if this was on behalf of a client.
  • MA-Gov: Politico has a piece describing the extraordinary efforts Obama's political team is making to help Gov. Deval Patrick win re-election. Patrick has visited the White House half a dozen times over the past year, and he's the only office-seeker so far (other than Harry Reid) to have a fundraiser headlined by the president himself.
  • PA-Gov: The Philadelphia Daily News obtained an interesting strategy memo penned by the campaign of Dem Dan Onorato. Apparently, Onorato was prepared to challenge the signatures of opponents Joe Hoeffel and Anthony Williams. However, since Hoeffel didn't move to challenge Williams' signatures, Onorato's campaign apparently decided it was better to leave both of them alone, figuring it would be better to have two candidates from the Philly region in the race rather than one. (Onorato hails from Western PA.)
  • UT-Gov: Salt Lake County Mayor and Dem gubernatorial candidate Peter Corroon says he raised more than $360,000 since the start of the year. No word yet on GOP Gov. Gary Herbert's haul.
  • AL-03: Dems found someone to replace Josh Segall on the ballot at the last minute: Montgomery native Steve Segrest, who lost to GOPer Kay Ivey in the Treasurer's race in 2006. Segrest comes from a political family: His father served in the Alabama House and his grandfather, Napoleon Broward, was elected governor... of Florida... in 1905. In some other Alabama news, state Sen. Jim Preuitt, who had long been on the outs with the Democrats, switched parties to the GOP.
  • FL-08: GOP Bruce O'Donoghue says he raised $300K since joining the race, and has a similar amount on hand. O'Donoghue's camp says that this sum does not include any self-donations.
  • NH-01, NH-02: Dem Ann McLane Kuster, seeking Paul Hodes' open seat in NH-02, says she raised $285K in Q1, and apparently has made a record haul from New Hampshire residents. Supposedly Katrina Swett will announce a bigger haul, but no numbers yet. Meanwhile, GOPer Frank Guinta, running in NH-01, supposedly raised $250K, including $100K of his own money. (Guinta's fundraising had been pretty sucky prior to this.)
  • NY-19: The Republican field to take on Dem Rep. John Hall still seems very unsettled. Ophthalmologist Nan Hayworth has gotten a lot of love from the NRCC, but a broad swath of the GOP establishment in the 19th CD doesn't seem to feel similarly, and she faces several strong opponents. One of them, former Pentagon analyst Kristia Cavere, says she raised $200K in Q1 & will soon convert her exploratory committee into the real thing. Meanwhile, ex-Tuxedo Mayor David McFadden says he's raised about $100K. He also says that if he doesn't win the party's nomination at the May convention, he'll drop out.
  • PA-07: Dem Bryan Lentz is challenging the validity of GOP opponent Pat Meehan's signatures. As we noted previously, Lentz is also questioning the impartiality of the investigator, which happens to be Republican AG Tom Corbett's office. Lentz now has a new arrow in his quiver: Some of the same people who circulated petitions for Meehan also did so for Corbett. Even better, it looks like some local GOP leaders may have signed false affidavits saying they personally gathered signatures, even though others may have actually carried the petitions.
  • SD-AL: Physician Kevin Weiland had planned to challenge Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin in the Democratic primary after she voted "no" on healthcare. But Weiland pulled out at the last minute, after receiving calls from Steny Hoyer, and Chris Van Hollen. He also spoke with Herseth Sandlin herself, and reportedly "negotiated an assurance from Herseth Sandlin that she would reconnect with her Democratic base in South Dakota and never vote for a repeal of the health care plan." Doesn't sound like much. He also apparently cheesed off one-time Obama strategist Steve Hildebrand, who declined to run himself but worked overtime to help Weiland gather signatures (he only had a week in which to do it) to qualify for the ballot.
  • TN-06: Another veteran is entering this open-seat race on the Democratic side. Brett Carter, an attorney and TN National Guardsman who served in Iraq, joins Marine Capt. Ben Leming in the Dem field.
  • TN-08: Things are really starting to get hot in the GOP primary in Tennessee's 8th CD. The Republican establishment isn't just stumping for agribusiness magnate Steve Fincher - they're actively attacking his opposition. Georgia Rep. Lynn Westmoreland, whose trip to Fincher's district we noted in an earlier digest, slammed physician Ron Kirkland for allegedly being wobbly on the healthcare reform bill and for his past support of Democrats. (Kirkland previously said he liked most of what was in the bill, except for the public option - and when he was chair of the American Medical Group Association when they made donations to Max Baucus.) Kirkland is no random teabagger pushover, which is why he's drawing fire. This could be an unusually interesting primary.
  • TX-17: The Texas Tribune takes a look at the two Republicans in a run-off for the privilege of facing Dem Chet Edwards in the fall: 2008 nominee Rob Curnock and oil exec Bill Flores. Here's an interesting detail: Flores voted in the Democratic presidential primary in 2008, supposedly "casting his ballot against Barack Obama." That's some cute spin, but if he voted for Hillary Clinton (he won't say), I don't really see how that helps him. But in any event, Flores outraised Curnock by a huge margin, $214K to $16K, in newly-filed pre-runoff FEC reports.
  • WA-03: Ex-state Rep. Denny Heck (D) says he raised $350K in the first quarter (including $150K of his own money), leaving him with $530K on hand.
  • Census: There's a bill pending in both houses of the NY state legislature that would require counting prison inmates as part of their home communities, rather than upstate, where most prisons are located. Given how dysfunctional the lege is, though, there's no telling if this badly-needed reform will actually see the light of day.
  • Fundraising: GOP bigs are hitting the trail on behalf of their brethren during the congressional recess. John Boehner is helping Californians Mary Bono Mack and Ken Calvert, Pete Sessions is helping Illinoisans Randy Hultgren and Adam Kinzinger, and a bunch of other top Republicans are also putting their backs into things.
  • Redistricting: Former DCCC nat'l field director Casey O'Shea will replace Brian Smoot as head of the National Democratic Redistricting Trust. Smoot is leaving to head up the DSCC's independent expenditure arm. (And O'Shea and Smoot are consulting partners.)
  • WATN: Dede Scozzafava says she's working on a memoir about last year's special election race. Can't wait to read it! She also says she's unsure about whether she'll seek reelection to her seat in the Assembly this year.
  • Site News: Thanks for helping us reach 1,500 followers on Twitter and 400 fans on Facebook!
  • DavidNYC :: SSP Daily Digest: 4/5 (Morning Edition)
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    PA-07 signatures
    I wonder if that might backfire if it fails. Meehan could make it look like Lentz was scared to face him.

    I have that same feeling...
    Even if this succeeds, and Meehan is knocked off the ballot, aren't a lot of people going to be upset that they didn't get a chance to vote for him?

    It's pretty clear Meehan could have gotten the signatures - he just made a mistake in relying on someone who was a bit shady. Of course, that doesn't make Meehan look good either, which is why I think it's good Lentz is bringing it up. I just wonder how far he should take it.  


    [ Parent ]
    Couldn't disagree more, this doesn't hurt Lentz at all......
    I think this is a little too insidery to hurt Lentz with any voters.

    This whole thing will be resolved before any voters are paying attention.

    Voters don't pay attention to individual House races or the candidates involved until very late.  And having a red-hot Senate race and an open governorship both on the same ballot depress attention to House races even further.

    The petitions challenge is not going to hurt Lentz's public image, and it's not otherwise an issue voters care about.  Patrick Meehan has no particular public following, if he's bumped from the ballot somehow some other Republican will wind up on it.

    43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


    [ Parent ]
    Yep, I think I agree with this...


    [ Parent ]
    Agreed: If anything, people will think
    oh wasnt that Meeham guy supposed to be somewhere on this?

    And that's even assuming people will remember that much of his name 7 months from now.


    [ Parent ]
    Lentz is anything but scared
    The Delaware County GOP has had an iron grip on local and most federal races for generations. Excellent book, Ruling Suburbia by John Morrison McLarnon, outlines the history of this machine from late 1870's thru the beginning of this century.
    Anyone who has lived in Delaware County PA and has any awareness of local politics will know that fear does not motivate Rep Lentz.  He is the first formidable Delco Democrat with the courage and resources to stand up to the shady practices that have been going on for generations.  His willingness to shine light on the forgery and deception on his opponent's petitions is sending shockwaves through the local powers that be.  They are not denying Lentz's charges - they can't.  
    If the Republican candidate is knocked off the ballot, he will be forced to conduct a write in campaign.  If he is able to maintain that he has 1000 valid signatures, the invalidated signatures will certainly tarnish the squeaky cleaen image his campaign has promoted.
    The best I think the Republican can do here is to claim that he didn't know about the conduct of his own team. Not the strongest image to put forth in the General election.

    [ Parent ]
    I don't see what the point of this challenge is
    Let's assume Meehan gets kicked off the ballot. He'd have to run a write-in campaign to win the primary, which would cause him to spend a little money and get his name out there. There's no danger of another Republican winning the nomination, as he's the only Republican who filed.

    [ Parent ]
    Point?
    I actually love this challenge. For one thing, it shows that Lentz is going to take an aggressive stance against, as one commenter here described him, a "Mike Castle-like opponent". I like that a lot -- it shows a challenger willing to fight hard, which is something that I'm sure donors want to see in a crap year like this.

    For another thing, if Meehan gets kicked off the ballot, it will be an embarrassment on multiple levels: A) It's a display of basic campaign incompetence; and B) It exposes ties to a shady machine. Even if he still makes it through with a large amount of invalidated signatures, that's not a good headline for him.

    Lentz sounds like my type of Democrat!


    [ Parent ]
    Can't anyone try to run as a write-in candidate?
    Do you need to file? Or maybe primary elections rules work differently than general.

    [ Parent ]
    Yes.
    Anyone can do a write-in, but Meehan should have the resources on hand to do so. Don't know if any other Republicans would try to run in PA-07.

    [ Parent ]
    New Poll in California
     Not exactly the brighest poll in the world. Whitman is leading by 3 points but this is after she spent all that money and Jerry Brown spent almost nothing. Tom Campbell is ahead of Fiorina in the primary by three points. The good news is that Boxer is ahead of Generic Republican by 14 points and Obama has 58%-34% approval rating in California.

    http://realclearpolitics.blogs...

    for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




    17, CA-06,  


    The thing is, I dunno if any of Boxer's actual opponents are "generic Republicans"
    I feel Bill Simon's probably about as "generic" as a state GOP-er gets; decently right-of-center. Campbell's to the left for a Republican, even by California standards. Ideologically, Fiorina's probably most in line with a CA GOP-er, but she's running as a total outsider. And then DeVore's running a teabaggy campaign that would probably play better in the deep south.

    It wouldn't surprise me if Boxer is at 48%, but it also wouldn't floor me if her ceiling isn't too far from that. That's why she really needs a teabagger (DeVore) or a potential gaffe-machine (Fiorina) to score victory here.

    For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast


    [ Parent ]
    Yeah, I had a WTF moment
    when I saw they polled Generic R.  There's only three candidates, for crying out loud!  Poll them!

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    I Know!
    What a waste of a poll! All anyone cares about is the GE match-ups. I'd still call this race a lean D at the moment. Boxer's a terrible legislator but I do think her War Chest and California's dark blue electorate will save her. Both Campbell and Fiorina will likely give her the fight of her political career but it would be a dire day for dems indeed in November should they lose here, ie. (the loss if the senate).

    [ Parent ]
    How is Boxer a "terrible legislator"?
    Personally, she's one of my favorite Senators.

    [ Parent ]
    That depends on your views.
    For me she is somewhat "too ideologized". Not surprising given my generally moderate (and her - very liberal) views. So, Feinstein is, probably, closer to my positions..)))

    [ Parent ]
    Barbara Boxer is no more 'very liberal'
    than 'ideologized' is a real word. She voted for No Child Left Behind and the bailout, so she's willing to indulge in bipartisan stuff that the liberal base hates.

    She's done a lot of work with Republican senators, so she's hardly inimicable to compromise.

    Sure, she's definitely on the left with regard to gay rights, abortion and the environment, but so is her state. About the only bit of real left-wing action you can pin on her is supporting Bush's censure, and that always seemed more like soapbox stuff than a serious aim.

    Liberal? Sure. But she's not exactly Paul Wellstone.


    [ Parent ]
    Her vote against cutting funding for that one jet last summer
    Told me everything about Boxer; quite liberal, but really just making sure she gets elected.  Not saying that as a negative, she was representing her constituents views.  But a liberal ideologue would have jumped at the chance to cut military funding when directed by their President and DoD.

    [ Parent ]
    She's a terrible legislator
    Because in 18 in the senate she authored 3 bills- one to name a courthouse in Virginia, one to name a stretch of highway, and one to set aside funds to retrofit a bridge. She's your version of Liz Dole.

    [ Parent ]
    That's pretty shitty
    but bills authored certainly isnt the only metric.  There is stands taken (OH voting irregularities in 2004), constituent services, pork barrel money secured, and that's all Ive got off the top of my head.

    And is that three authored and passed or just authored period?  Because if its authored and passed, it would certainly be hard for someone with such left wing views to have gotten much done between 1995 and 2006.

    Three is still pretty bad though....


    [ Parent ]
    It is a terrible metric
    Based upon it very few of them would ever be re-elected.

    [ Parent ]
    According
    to Congress.org, Barbara Boxer is the 26th most powerful senator in senate. Liddy Dole was 93rd.

    http://www.congress.org/congre...

    19, Male, Independent, CA-12


    [ Parent ]
    Spit right-wing talking points often
    Bills authored have very little to do with actual legislative process.  Boxer has added amendments and marked-up hundreds of different bills to move them in a more progressive direction.  The IUSA, NOPA, COPS, Shepard, and Title X of 505.  Also, what about her filbuster of ANWR and all of the conservative bills she helped block.
    I'm sick of hearing Boxer bashing.  She has been a terrific Senator, has top-notch constituent services (not easy in a state with 6-times more people than Ireland), and doesn't get pushed around by Republicans and conservadems.
    If you are going to slam my home-state Senator, don't do it with Fiorina's talking points.

    26, D, MO-05, Hispanic

    [ Parent ]
    Alright
    I completely understand this is a democratic blog, so I always avoid gloating or talking policy when I post but it amazes me that people can support such an arrogant, ignorant, extremist senator like Boxer. Her views on abortion could not possibly be based on rational humanist ethics.           Quiet simply she's farther to the left than jim demint is to the right . Her extremist rambling border on balkman-esque. We live in partisan times but your die hard support for Boxer really undermines your legitimate arguments. I'm not gonna say anymore on this because I think I've already got a bit too partisan.

     


    [ Parent ]
    Good, Quit while your ahead
    Just like you did with me when you made that stupid statement when you said we should primary the President. When you did that you spat out RW Talking Points as well.

    22, Male, Democrat, PA-18.

    [ Parent ]
    Woah
    I thought Ireland was a Republican?

    [ Parent ]
    I don't know the poster's party afflication
    I know Ireland is a concern troll, that's certain.

    22, Male, Democrat, PA-18.

    [ Parent ]
    Well...
    I was a conservative- independent but was a big Hillary supporter in the primary. As y'all know I'm Irish and I live not too far from the border and really saw first hand Hillary's work and contribution in bringing both sides together and hammering out an historic agreement. So quiet simply, I forgave some of her left-leanings and joined the campaign in any way I could, It was quiet easy as Hillary had strong support here and as far as I know the first non American campaign rally/ fundraiser was held here for Hillary. I joined the campaign post super tuesday and fought to the end. In the GE, I was an uninterested McCain supporter.                                                          

    [ Parent ]
    Btw
    I was always wondering what this blog was like during the dem primary. Did y'all endorse a candidate or did the different camps just fight it out in the comments.

    [ Parent ]
    Neutral
    It was why I started posting regularly here. The primary wars were tiresome.

    [ Parent ]
    The primary wars were tiresome
    Yep, just look at the "War of the Netroots" between Daily Kos (Obama) and MYDD (Hillary). Reading any of that mixed in with the crap the Republicans made up made you wish the election ended as quickly as possible.

    22, Male, Democrat, PA-18.

    [ Parent ]
    It was hilarious.
    Someone would post something about the presidential primary and the whole site would ignore it with a collective yawn.

    It's a big part of what made this my #1 home on the Internets.

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


    [ Parent ]
    Thats what I love about this place
    It's ALL about elections and elections and any type of policy talk is strictly forbidden unless it can be tied into an election. And the mods here arent afraid to lay the hammer down when a thread is derail.

    Great Site.

    22, Male, Democrat, PA-18.


    [ Parent ]
    I
    really wish I would have stumbled upon this site sooner than I did. I hated the primary wars. This is hands down the best political blog I've ever been to.  

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

    [ Parent ]
    IIRC, the mods were actively and immediately cutting off
    any POTUS campaign discussion. And telling those posters to find an other outlet, as SSP's special niche was/is non-POTUS campaign coverage.

    [ Parent ]
    Yeah I knew all that
    I knew you were from Ireland and was a Hillary supporter, still your comment was tiresome and dumb.

    22, Male, Democrat, PA-18.

    [ Parent ]
    This type of non-horserace comment
    Is completely unwelcome here. Time to move on.

    [ Parent ]
    Still
    It'll be the job of the Boxer campaign to paint her eventual opponent that way. Whoever it may be. So useful numbers nevertheless.

    [ Parent ]
    Rudy's backing of Rubio is kinda awesome
    Keep in mind, Rudy fully expected Crist to back his Presidential bid, even as he was free-falling in the polls to McCain/Romney/Huck. And then came the 11-o'-clock-hour endorsement for McCain.

    PAYBACK BAY-BAY.

    For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast


    Having
    read Game CHange just recently this is exactly what I thought. I wouldn't be surprised if RUdy called Crist about an hour before this news came out telling him that he would be endorsing and campaigning with him.  

    17, Gay Male, Democrat, NJ-8  

    [ Parent ]
    I
    love that book. I thought I would hate it, considering how much hype it had. However it covered the election with great detail and was worth the twenty bucks. Yeah I seriously doubt Rudy's endorsement will help Rubio a whole lot, but at the same time you can't blame him for wanting revenge.  

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

    [ Parent ]
    I am almost done with it
     And it is a great book! I really like all the insider information on everything that is happening. I actually got to meet the authors which was pretty cool.

    for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




    17, CA-06,  


    [ Parent ]
    Thune is now the safest incumbent in 2010
    Even Mike Crapo in Idaho is likely to at least get token major party opposition. I don't think Thune is presidential material coming from a small rural state that is drastically different from the rest of America, but certainly he has a golden opportunity if he wants to go that route.

    I think similar things were said of George McGovern
    I don't think Thune is presidential material coming from a small rural state that is drastically different from the rest of America.

    While I dislike Thune's politics, I do not think his background from a small rural state is that much of a handicap.  


    [ Parent ]
    1972 isn't that representative
    Dems had a fairly weak primary field, especially after Muskie dropped out, and McGovern had the advantage of essentially having designed the primary system.

    That said, Thune could be competitive if no other establishment technocrats run, but I don't see him grabbing Iowa or another early state, which he'd need to pick off the big states where those credentials appeal.


    [ Parent ]
    Interesting that you bring up Ed Muskie
    Also from a small rural state....

    I wouldn't call Scoop Jackson or Hubert Horatio Humphrey "weak". And Gene McCarthy was the hero of the anti-war movement of the time.

    However, it is true that '72 was skewed by the plumbers (ref. Donald Segretti, etc. on behalf of CREEP.)

    And it is true that the key for a small state Presidential candidate is strong showings in Iowa and/or New Hampshire.


    [ Parent ]
    Slight amendment
    I did not mean to imply that Gene McCarthy was "weak" in '72.

    [ Parent ]
    Weak field?
    George McGovern, Hubert Humphrey, Ed Muskie, Scoop Jackson, John Lindsay, and, uh, George Wallace.

    That's a pretty formidable group.


    [ Parent ]
    SD-Gov, SD-Sen
    Which is worse-- having no Democrat in the race at all (Thune for Senate) or having the only Democrat who files for the race essentially run to the right of the presumptive Republican nominee (Heidepriem (D) vs. Daugaard (R)).  

    Maybe Heidepriem is more liberal on social issues, but on fiscal issues, he certainly seems to be running to the right of Daugaard.  He has every right to do so, of course, but if you are an economic progressive, it does not look like Heidepriem is your friend.


    seems like a bad plan
    The Dakota's seem really open to economic populism, he shouldn't be running a corporatist Republican campaign.  

    [ Parent ]
    I believe Heidepriem himself used to be a Republican
    Not sure if that has anything to do with it.

    Male, 23, DC-At Large

    [ Parent ]
    The need to name call is a weakness
    It indicates that you can't articulate a reason why candidate A (Rand Paul) is better or worse than candidate B (Trey Grayson).

    Um...this site doesn't really care about that.
    Actually, I think most people on this site, including the person who wrote this digest, might actually wish Paul would win the primary, because of the perception he'd be easier to beat in the general election.


    [ Parent ]
    Well
    I'm actually rooting for Paul in the primary because it gives us the better shot in the general. I have seen much worse name calling on conservative sites (ever been to redstate?) and DavidNYC's comment reflects the majority of people's view on SSP. Also it's not name calling if it's true.    

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

    [ Parent ]
    Barrow to switch parties?
    I think it's doubtful but conservative blog Peach Pundit says something on it: http://www.peachpundit.com/201...

    For him, that may be even dumber than Griffith's switch.
    In the primary, the Republicans are just going to loooooove his very public (if completely insincere) support of Obama in the 2008 presidential primaries.  

    And in the general, he'd be running as a Republican in a Democratic district.

    Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


    [ Parent ]
    he's completely insincere
    and just a bad politician. But he is not a conservative, he's from Clarke County, he was a County Commissioner of something there, that area is the Austin, Texas of Georgia

    [ Parent ]
    CO-4: Markey raises big money after "yes" vote on HCR
    http://hotlineoncall.nationalj...

    She raised $505K in the first quarter- $355K of that came after her yes vote.  

    Cory Gardner also raised some dough after her yes, though not nearly as much- $75K.  


    21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



    I love both her haul and Gardner's n/t


    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    no 50 state strategy
    I haven't heard talk of a 50-state strategy since Tim Kaine took over as DNC chair, and now I see there wasn't even a token attempt at the SD senate race. That stinks. Of course you can't win the seat when you concede the race. The 5-state strategy worked because if you at least try a token campaign, you never know when the safe incumbent will get caught storing money in his freezer or texting the teenage pages. You have to be there to take advantage. All that blather about focusing on local races and building the party: bull----

    To be fair we ran no Dem against Lugar in 2006
    That didn't hurt us in Indiana.

    21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



    [ Parent ]
    That's been a complaint for a while

    and I think the answer is that OfA and the DNC have essentially become organizations focussed on getting Obama reelected.

    In some ways I don't mind the 50SS getting dropped.  We're looking at a mix of bailing out and massacre of conservaDems in the Kansas-Tennessee-Gulf Coast quadrangle this November; expending money and staffers and effort in attempts to limit that seems like a waste.

    But Republicans have an exploitable problem of districts and states that are tipping Democratic extending east from the southern Californian coast to Clark County and Maricopa County.  That's where the 50SS and parachuting in a lot of money, staffers, finding some good candidates, grassroots organizing might have sufficiently large payoff.  Even if it only prepares the ground for stronger repeat runs and Obama winning Arizona in '12.


    [ Parent ]
    RI-01 - Cicilline hits the jackpot - $725K!!!
    http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/ey...

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    ND-AL - Ruh Roh.
    Berg hauls in $483K - $383 from donations.

    http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/ey...

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


    Even accounting for Rasmussen
    I've got that at tossup now. Would be nice to see some independent polling.

    [ Parent ]
    I'm starting to really worry about this one.
    Hoeven coattails and big Berg $$$ not a recipe for Democratic success.

    According to Open Secrets, Pomeroy had nearly $1.4 million on hand at the end of 2009, so he maintains a sizeable $$$ lead.

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


    [ Parent ]
    Does
    anyone want a free Brad Ellsworth bumper sticker? He has this form on his website were you just sign his petition and you get a free one (S/H included). You don't have to live in Indiana either. I got four for myself. I'm just posting this because I assume there have to be other people that collect political items like I do (4 books signed by both Obama and Biden, 2 Time magazines signed by both Obama and Biden, 1 book signed by just Hillary, 1 book by Hillary and Bill, about 20 bumper stickers and 150 pins dating all the way back to the late 1800's, man it feels great to brag). I'm also satisfied because my sister had to pay $8 for her Alexi bumper sticker in Illinois.  

    http://www.ellsworthforindiana...

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  


    Re:TX-17
    I remember that in 2008 Rush called for that Operation Chaos thing, where Republicans voted for Hillary to extend the primary season. Flores must have been part of that.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...

    Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)


    New NV Senate numbers
    I'll just let you go Rass's site, I don't feel like typing the results out.

    http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  


    He is looking toasty
    I was reading somewhere how an Ensign indictment might help him but I'm skeptical.

    [ Parent ]
    Ironically,
    Reid has a higher "very favorable" number than either Lowden, Tarkanian, or Angel.
    Just don't ask about Reid's "very unfavorable", cause you don't wanna know.

    Too bad for Reid that 'Tea Party' party guy seems to have totally flamed out.


    [ Parent ]
    Sharon "Club for Growth" Angle doing better than Tarkanian? Sure.
    I have no doubt that Nevada is all but gone at this point, but this is a ridiculous result.

    [ Parent ]
    Reid
    is DOA. Plain and simple. Schumer for majority leader!

    19, Male, Independent, CA-12

    [ Parent ]
    that IA-Gov poll sample
    seemed to be a bit skewed toward the Republicans. The likely voter screen was very tight--86 percent of sample said they were said they were "extremely likely" to vote and another 9 percent said they were "very likely" to vote. Culver's and Obama's approval ratings were lower in this poll than I've ever seen in any other Iowa poll. Republicans led the generic ballot among this poll's respondents in all five of Iowa's Congressional districts, including a difficult-to-believe six-point edge in IA-02 (D+7).

    More thoughts on the subject at Bleeding Heartland. Bottom line is that with this sample, I am a little surprised Branstad's lead over Culver was "only" 16 points. But we've now seen several polls showing Branstad at or above 50 percent and leading Culver by more than 15 percent. Even if you figure this poll is a bit skewed, Branstad has clearly got a solid lead over Culver.


    IP candidate looking to screw up MN-6 again for us
    http://minnesotaindependent.co...

    And within that story, is a link to this one which talks more about his possible candidacy, but from at the beginning of the race.  But what i found in the article is that Anderson describes himself as a "right leaning centrist".  I didnt know that before and it is certainly bad for us.  If we need to pick-up voters who normally would vote GOP but wont vote for Bachmann, Anderson is a much better place to go compared to who our nominee would be.



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