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SSP Daily Digest: 3/18 (Morning Edition)

by: James L.

Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 8:02 AM EDT


  • CA-Sen: Barack Obama will attend a joint fundraiser for the DNC and Barbara Boxer's re-election campaign in April. More details on the event are not yet available, but I'm guessing it won't take place on a blimp.

  • KY-Sen: Mmm, I could eat cat fud for breakfast, lunch, and dinner. The Politico has a new piece on the increasing panic among Kentucky and DC establishment Republicans over the possibility that Rand Paul may win the Senate primary against Mitch McConnell's protege Trey Grayson. Dick Cheney's inner circle is apparently sounding the alarm bells in private emails to neo-con leaders, warning that "Rand Paul is NOT one of us". It's funny, because that's exactly why he's winning!

  • PA-Gov: Democrat Dan Onorato has abruptly reversed course on his challenge to Joe Hoeffel's ballot signatures. Onorato's stated reasons for pulling the plug on the challenge can only be described as oblique.

  • CO-04: State GOP Rep. Cory Gardner got a double-dose of good news this week. Not only did he convincingly win the GOP precinct caucuses on Tuesday night, but his teabaggish primary challenger, ex-Ft. Collins Councilor Diggs Brown, dropped out of the race and endorsed him.

  • MI-01: The National Organization for Women says that it will mobilize its Michigan chapters to support Dem Rep. Bart Stupak's primary challenger, Charlevoix County Commissioner Connie Saltonstall. NOW President Terry O'Neill says that defeating Stupak will be her organization's "highest priority".

  • NY-29: The 29th District's eight county Democratic chairs plan to meet on either March 27 or 29 to interview at least six potential candidates who are interested in running in the still-to-be-scheduled special election to replace disgraced ex-Rep. Eric Massa. If they follow the same script used last year in the special election to replace Kirsten Gillibrand, the final selection should come almost immediately after the interview process.

  • PA-12: I don't know what it is about this district that has attracted so many fly by night pollsters in recent years, but a new automated polling group, We Ask America, has emerged to cough up a survey showing Democrat Mark Critz ahead of Republican Tim Burns by a 39-35 margin. UPDATE: We Ask America COO Gregg Durham writes in:

    While our polling operation is only entering its 5th year, the principals of our firm have each been involved in political polling for nearly three decades. Since our founding, We Ask America has been conducting private polls for clients ranging from gubernatorial, congressional and state-level candidates, as well as large national trade associations and private businesses. We call an average of four million household a year through the U.S. In addition, we also perform many live interview polls as well.

    The decision to enter the public-polling arena was made only after we experienced a great deal of success privately. We fully understand that taking a more public stance will require time and quality work to earn a reputation as a reliable voice in the public polling industry.

  • PA-15: Joe Biden is planning on sharing some of his own Joementum on the campaign trail soon, with an upcoming event planned for Bethlehem Mayor John Callahan.

  • Primaries: After record low turnout in the state's most recent round of primary elections (not to mention the Scott Lee Cohen debacle), Illinois lawmakers have moved the state's primary back to the third week of March.

  • Passings: It is with great sadness that we mourn the loss of rock legend Alex Chilton, whose fractured style of pop will forever remain the soundtrack of SSP.
  • James L. :: SSP Daily Digest: 3/18 (Morning Edition)
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    Smart move on Obama's part for Boxer.
    California is one of the few states where state Dems being associated with Obama will be more of an asset than a liability.

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    28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


    More delicious cat fud...
    Ras has McCain up only 48-41 over Hayworth.  You should announce your retirement in a fit of pique, Johnny Mac.  You know you want to!

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    It's sad I don't trust Scotty at all anymore
    because I'd love to think Hayworth was that close to McCain!

    [ Parent ]
    Mixed emotions
    I would love for the Dems to pickup this seat.  However, it frightens me that Hayworth would have a legitimate chance of being the next US Senator from Arizona.  My Dad's sister lives in Arizona, and she's a big time Democrat.  She told me that she likes and supports McCain (ugh) because most of the militant hard-right Republican men despise McCain and wants him defeated so Hayworth can lead their cause.  From what she's told me, this race will be a nasty one, and it might be eerily similar to the Rubio/Crist fight in Florida.  My aunt told me that the Hayworth base is so excited that it will be hard for any Democrat to win this race.  The biggest problem Hayworth has is that the women voters don't trust him.

    I still think Hayworth is very beatable in the GE.  It would take a strong Democratic candidate that can (a) excite the Democrats and (b) attract the McCain voters.  The Democrat would need for Hayworth to prove his nuttiness in the GOP primary too.  McCain is coming accross as a bitter old man, and that's not good for his primary prospects.

    40, male, Democrat, NC-04


    [ Parent ]
    JD is wrong guy for tea party crowd....
    The problem is JD is not one of the Tea Party crowd. He is really more of a Social or Paleo-Conservative than a Club for Growth type that is running the Tea Party movement.

    The Tea Party tries not to focus on abortion, Gay Rights, immigration. They are against taxes, earmarks and government spending.

    The problem for JD is he was a spender. He was all about earmarks and even got into trouble for that. Tea Party won't get behind a guy like that the way they would someone without the Washington lobbist connection taint.


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    [ Parent ]
    Will Tea Partiers vote for McCain instead ?
    I don't think so, for the most part.

    [ Parent ]
    I am looking at moving to Arizona (Mesa or Tempe more specifically)
    I'd love to be able to vote against McLame again! Or if Hayworth is the nom I'll happily vote against him too.

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    28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


    [ Parent ]
    AZ Sen
    Could we actually win this race if J D won?  We dont' have a very good candidate that I'm aware of.  I'd rather have McCain with Goddard as governor ready to ready to run when McCain retires.

    [ Parent ]
    Even if the gap is double, that is still close ...
    14 points down at this point would be a great start, IMO.  AZ has a late primary as I recall.  Even an 18 point gap would be reason for optimism.  Rubio closed a much bigger gap than that and created one just as large on his side.

    As for KY, are Independents or Dems allowed to vote in the GOP primary.  Some Rush Limbaugh inspired crossover voting by D's and D-leaning Indies might pull Paul across the finish line.  Is that possible?  


    [ Parent ]
    Didn't
    KY just defeat a bill allowing open primaries?

    21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
    please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


    [ Parent ]
    Yes they did
    It failed in the house.  Weird as the dems control that.

    [ Parent ]
    One possible candidate: Rod Glassman
    http://www.rodneyglassman.com/

    Vice Mayor of Tuscon

    If he runs against McCain or Hayworth

    would Glassman be anything more than "some dude?"


    [ Parent ]
    I think he's rich
    Doesn't Glassman have significant personal wealth? That, plus the fact he's an elected official certainly elevates him above "Some Dude" status...

    But I don't know Arizona well enough to know if he could win...

    Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


    [ Parent ]
    If having personal wealth
    that one is willing to spend on a race qualifies as being something more than "some dude," then Glassman is more than "some dude" as I understand it.  He is not a first tier Arizona candidate, though.    

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    CA-Sen (Field Poll): Campbell takes lead over Boxer, Fiorina competitive
    !?
    How could Boxer become so unpopular since january?
    48/39 to 38/51! What the hell happened!? The freakin' blimp!?

    It could just be a stray poll, voter sample was a fairly small 748. Plus, Obama still has massive star appeal in California, a few rallys with Boxer and she'll surge without spending a dollar. But it's definitely not a good sign that she's polling even with mediocre-at-best Campbell and Fiorina.


    [ Parent ]
    Maybe this poll is why Obama is heading out west to rally with Boxer.


    My blog
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    28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


    [ Parent ]
    Was this the same sample that showed Whitman ahead of Brown?
    n/t

    Male, 23, DC-At Large

    [ Parent ]

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