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SSP Daily Digest: 3/17 (Morning Edition)

by: DavidNYC

Wed Mar 17, 2010 at 7:54 AM EDT


  • AR-Sen: As Reid Wilson says, here's something you don't see every day - at least, not in a Dem primary. Blanche Lincoln is attacking the labor unions who are supporting her opponent, Bill Halter. Lincoln is also doing her best to warm the hearts of the faithful by taking John Boehner's side in the latest kerfuffle over House procedural tactics with regard to healthcare reform.
  • CO-Sen: Dem Sen. Michael Bennet has his first TV ad up, a $300K buy in Denver and Colorado Springs. Greg Giroux suggests that the timing is deliberate, since Bennet will be looking to blunt any possible momentum Romanoff might have received coming out of last night's precinct caucuses.
  • FL-Sen: All the cool kids have already done it, which means anyone getting on the Marco Rubio bandwagon at this late date is just a fair-weather fan. Still, GOP Rep. Tom Price is chair of the Republican Study Committee, which is the Borg collective mothership of right-wing crazy, so this gives Rubio the Good Wingnut Seal of Approval™. Resistance is futile.
  • MA-Sen: That didn't take long - newly-minted GOP Sen. Scott Brown will be hosting his first inside-the-beltway fundraiser, at $1000 a head. Of course, it'll be at the offices of lobbying firm Duane Morris. My advice to Scott Brown is to hold lots and lots of events with lobbyists. Also, become the anti-healthcare frontman for your party. Thanks for helping out with that, Mitch McConnell!
  • NV-Sen: Memo to reporters: Please include information about the size of ad buys (especially for attack ads) when you're writing them up. There are too many tiny buys made solely for the purpose of spinning the media. We the people need to know if we're being spun, too.
  • NY-Sen-B: Republican ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi officially offered himself up as a sacrificial lamb entered the race to take on Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand yesterday.
  • PA-Sen: Arlen Specter snagged another valuable endorsement yesterday, this time from the 191,000-strong Pennsylvania State Education Association. (JL)
  • WI-Sen: A source close to Tommy Thompson's jowls says that the former governor is "50-50" on whether he will play Droopy Dog in the upcoming remake.
  • SC-Gov: It's payback time - Willard Mitt Romney is endorsing Mark Sanford protégé and state Rep. Nikki Haley for governor. Haley, as you've probably gathered, had endorsed Mittens in 2008 for the key SC primary. Other presidential wannabes have also returned the favor to their respective buddies; Reid Wilson has the full scorecard.
  • AZ-08: GOPer Jonathan Paton, who recently resigned from the state Senate to challenge Rep. Gabby Giffords, was added to the NRCC's Young Guns program. Three other Republicans are seeking their party's nod, including one candidate already on the Young Guns list, Marine Corps vet Jesse Kelly. Paton is almost certainly the establishment favorite, though.
  • LA-02: It's hard to know what to make of the GOP's attitude toward Joe Cao's seat. On the one hand, they let him get mixed up with the sketchmeisters at BMW Direct. On the other, John Boehner just held a $500/person fundraiser for Cao last night on Capitol Hill. But then on the flipside, it looks like Cao will flip-flop and vote against healthcare this time, which will surely doom him in November. So why waste the money on him? Perhaps GOP bigs figure that buying Cao off will pay dividends when the party is able to point to unanimous opposition to the healthcare bill.
  • ND-AL: The campaign manager for former state House Majority Leader Rick Berg, a leading challenger to Earl Pomeroy, resigned yesterday, after misusing a state Republican Party email list and lying about it.
  • NY-13: Andy Stern wasn't kidding. The SEIU is running a full-page ad in today's Staten Island Advance urging Rep. Mike McMahon to vote in favor of healthcare reform. Greg Sargent has a copy of the full ad (PDF). This ad could presage a primary or third-party challenge should McMahon vote no, something Stern has already threatened.
  • SD-AL: Steve Hildebrand, a top Obama campaign official, says he's considering a challenge to Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin in the Democratic primary, particularly if she votes against healthcare.
  • DNC: This is Not News. DNC chair Tim Kaine says that Organizing for America will help Dems who vote "yes" on healthcare reform... but of course doesn't say that he'll withhold help from Dems who vote "no." I wouldn't expect him to, hence why this is Not News.
  • Healthcare: The U.S. Chamber of Commerce absolutely, definitely, most assuredly is not not NOT concern trolling House Democrats on the upcoming healthcare vote. They have our best interests at heart, and spent money on polling because they genuinely care about us.
  • Much more interesting poll numbers on healthcare can be found here. It turns out that the public was evenly divided on Medicare before it became law, too. Now, of course, the program is unassailable.

  • Kentucky: A bill to let independents vote in Democratic or Republican primaries died in the KY House.
  • WATN: I guess with Eric Massa stealing the limelight these days, Mark Foley feels emboldened to make his return to DC. He'll be a guest at one of those unduly cozy black-tie beltway affairs, the Radio and TV Correspondents' Dinner.
  • SSP: I'm not done begging. We're at 1,386 Twitter followers. SO close to 1,400. Make it happen. Pretty please?
  • DavidNYC :: SSP Daily Digest: 3/17 (Morning Edition)
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    Did you take an extra snark pill this morning?
    Your commentary is extra delicious today.

    68, Dem-leaning indie, MI-8

    Blanche Lincoln attacking her opponent for supposedly being dishonest.
    Now that's something-like-irony.

    PN Dem. Senate race is over
    I didn't have a dog in this race, and if anything was sort-of pulling for Joe Sestak.  But with Specter getting the support of the teachers and SEIU, he's going to be our candidate.

    Further, I looked at Sestak's website this morning, and he's got a really snotty video on the front page that goes after President Obama as much as it does Specter.  Not a really good idea.


    Oh boy:
    Haha, former Rep. Joseph DioGuardi running against Sen. Gillibrand? Not a chance he'll beat her.

    What's he going to do - bring Simon Cowell and Randy Jackson to campaign with him? (His daughter Kara's American Idol co-judges)


    Of course
    Would Repunlicans convince Paraki to run (yes. i know that's highly unlikrly if not impossible) - that could be a race. But DioGuardi - really no chances.

    [ Parent ]
    Pataki, of course)))


    [ Parent ]
    CA-Gov: Field Poll shows narrow Whitman lead over Brown
    Whitman-46%, Brown-43%.  http://hotlineoncall.nationalj...

    Field Poll showing her up is a bit scary since they're regarded as the goldstandard of California polling.  Apparently Whitman's ads are making a much bigger difference for her image than her gaffs.  I hope Brown people run some positive ads before she and her millions portray him as a creature of Sacramento.  

    21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



    I always expected Whitman to be at least competitive
    But with her money and Brown doing nothing she becomesreally competitive. I could imagine similar pattern in Senate race, but only if Campbell would be a nominee (what's quite possible) and, most importantly, if he would have money (as far as i know - he doesn't)

    [ Parent ]
    No gender gap, problems in LA
    http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/...

    DiCamillo senses the biggest shift is down in Los Angeles, where radio and TV rule what there is of political discourse.

    But Whitman has something else going for her - gender.

    "Democrats have long had the support of women in California," DiCamillo said. "Whitman has negated that advantage - in fact, she is leading Brown among women by two points."

    DiCamillo is a Field pollster.


    [ Parent ]
    Whitman has really bungled this
    She's peaked way too early.  She has focused on burying Poizner, her smaller challenge, while the race against Brown won't start for five months.

    Additionally all signs point to Poizner going after her in May like a rabid dog.


    [ Parent ]
    What's happening with Jerry Brown?
    Field Poll Reports:

    Whitman overtook Brown in a possible general election matchup, winning the support of 46 percent of likely voters compared with Brown's 43 percent, the poll found. Brown had led Whitman by 10 percentage points in the January poll and by 21 points in October.

    Read more: http://www.sacbee.com/2010/03/...


    Nothing
    Literally. She is spending millions on ads and he isn't. He should probably start sooner rather than later.

    [ Parent ]
    AR-Sen - What is the D base in Arkansas?
    Lincoln is testing the notion that the D base in Arkansas is left of center....

    Blanche Lincoln is attacking the labor unions who are supporting her opponent, Bill Halter. Lincoln is also doing her best to warm the hearts of the faithful by taking John Boehner's side in the latest kerfuffle over House procedural tactics with regard to healthcare reform

    If Lincoln is correct, she'll win the primary. If not, Halter will win, and we will have a chance of retaining the seat.


    this really is unusual
    Normally when incumbents get primaried from the left, they don't run to the right.  Clearly, it seems like Halter's life is being made easier by what Blanche is doing.

    23, Male, Democrat, OH-13

    [ Parent ]
    Actually, probably not
    You guys are forgetting that there are plenty of extremely conservative registered Democrats in Arkansas. Lincoln's strategy is to appeal to those right-wing Democrats (as well as trying to win the moderates, who don't like HCR in Arkansas, over).

    As much as I think Lincoln is being a jackass, this isn't a horrible strategy on her part, even in the Democratic primary.

    Politics and Other Random Topics

    24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


    [ Parent ]
    Also, someone has got to say this
    If Halter beats Lincoln with an appeal to the base strategy, especially if he doesn't beat her by much, what are his chances of winning the election in a state where only 39 percent voted for Obama?

    I know...the theory is that both Halter and Lincoln are likely to lose, therefore let's try to punish Lincoln and show what happens when you stray from the base. Personally, I think Lincoln is being smart by attacking the outside interests supporting Halter. I personally think this whole challenge by Halter is a mistake, but that's for another response on another blog.  


    [ Parent ]
    You are mis-characterizing the Pro-Halter position a bit
    Well, maybe you are for the people on this blog, as no one hear is saying to punish her but more so, she's DOA so lets try someone new.  I havent read much how other progressive blog communities have been talking about the race, but I spose I can imagine them characterizing it the way you said.

    [ Parent ]
    My own suspicion on that is that it's the "official" position
    I'm certainly not opposed to it, but at the same time, it really feels more like Lincoln is being challenged more out of punishment (or maybe an attempt to push her to the left while she's still there, but that seems to have backfired on us).

    Politics and Other Random Topics

    24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


    [ Parent ]
    It's an open primary.
    Link.

    [ Parent ]
    With competitive primaries on both sides
    I don't think there will be a lot of crossovers on either side. Of course, if there's a clear leader on either side closer to primary election day, that could change.

    [ Parent ]
    HTML Help
    Anyone willing to help me with some html Im working on for a diary?  My tables always seem to get messed up and following the directions that the blog automatically tells me on how to fix it always seem really counter-intuitive to me, and really just turns the coding into a mess I wont understand later on when I need to make another table.

    I just need to someone to look it over and say, you get that part of the coding wrong and here is what the coding needs to be from now on for forever.


    CT-Sen: McMahon takes double-digit lead in GOP primary, Blumenthal still leads big
    I see Simmons dropping down to Congress
    Simmons didn't sign up for this. He wanted to take on Dodd not get crushed by Blumenthal. I wouldn't be surprised to see him drop down to try to retake his old House seat as a face saving way to back out.

    Fight global warming & help disaster relief efforts by raising money for Music for Relief when you search the web! Click here for more info:
    http://searchmfr.swagbucks.com...


    [ Parent ]
    Possible
    But that won't be easy as well. In addition - am i correct considering McMahon as "slightly to the right" of Simmons?

    [ Parent ]
    NY-13: Denial of rumor.
    Politico posted State Senator Lanza was possibly running.

    http://www.politico.com/blogs/...

    Luckily looks like a false alarm.

    http://www.silive.com/news/ind...

    As for someone running against McMahon.  Given I have a tree on my house I'd rather he leverage his vote on healthcare to get Staten Island badly needed money from FEMA rather than snuggling up with the Conservative Party.  But I don't think even Steve Harrison wants another run for the seat.  And that is about the best you are going to do.  Unless Andy Stern wants to run himself not sure it will be anyone of any merit.  And even then doubtful even a Democratic Party challenger given what a chore it is to get on the ballot in NYC.

    If the WFP puts up a straw man candidate it will hurt in the sense it'll draw off protest votes.  And hurt more so in that WFP is good at organization and get out the vote which McMahon can use on election day.  But that is probably it.

    NY-13, Democrat. Blog @ http://infinitefunction.wordpr...


    False rumor....
    If Lanza wanted to risk his Senate seat to run for Congress he could have done this in 2008 when the seat was open. If he passed then he will pass on it now.

    IMHO this is just a false rumor probably started by the WFP to put pressure on McMahon to vote for the healthcare bill.

    They probably look at it as a win win. If Lanza run he opens up a Senate Seat for a possible Dem pick up, if not at least the threat a 3rd party split might scare McMahon.

    As for finding a candidate, it can't be that hard to find some labor activist in New York City to run.  

    Because of fusion voting and lack of a sore lose rule that candidate could run in the Democrat primary and the general election.

    Fight global warming & help disaster relief efforts by raising money for Music for Relief when you search the web! Click here for more info:
    http://searchmfr.swagbucks.com...


    [ Parent ]
    No way Lanza would run...
    ...all the Republican office holders have young families and wives who were friends with Vito's wife.  Let's just say none of them are very enthused with the idea of their husbands running and following in Vito's footsteps.  Donovan is single but would rather be Attorney General.

    About the best the Republicans could do is Vito who had been testing the waters.  Assuming McMahon hangs on I wouldn't be surprised to see him run in 2012.

    As for running a labor activist.  I can think of a few and they fall into two categories.  Folks with ambitions who wouldn't want to screw up their chances to climb the ladder later.  And those who would be roadkill.

    On the other hand during the 2009 primaries in NYC the Working Family Party did show they are nothing to be laughed at and got out the vote in impressive fashion for their candidates across the city.  If they could find a decent candidate they aren't folks you should dismiss by any measure.  They took the scalps of more than one city council incumbent.  Assuming they could find a decent candidate.

    NY-13, Democrat. Blog @ http://infinitefunction.wordpr...


    [ Parent ]
    Kucinich to vote for HCR
    http://voices.washingtonpost.c...

    He can stay in the House now, I guess.  I was kind of looking forward to see the liberal constituency groups turn their back on him for being a boob about this so that we could finally be rid of him.


    Good to see
    I'm curious as to whether Artur Davis can be brought on board next. Unlikely, but I thought that about Kucinich as well.  

    Independent Socialist & Chair of SSP Cranky Indianian Hoosier Caucus, IN-09

    [ Parent ]
    Doubt it
    Kucinich isn't running for Governor of Alabama.  

    [ Parent ]
    LOL
    Read some of the comments on FDL. OMG, I am SOOOOOOOO glad to see them so pissed off. Suck Jane Hamsher!!!!!!!

    http://news.firedoglake.com/20...

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  


    [ Parent ]
    In addition to being a derail
    Jane Hamsher is a three-time, and recent breast cancer survivor, so your comment comes off more than a little ugly.

    I don't agree with her politics either, but can't we hold ourselves to a higher standard?

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


    [ Parent ]
    Sorry
    I should have proof read it before pressing post. It was a little over the top. Also I meant to say "Suck it Jane Hamsher" still over the top though. As for her being a breast cancer survivor my hat goes off to her, I have seen many family members suffer through the illness and she must be very courageous (although I'm not sure what her being a cancer survivor had to do with my comment). Still while my wording should have been different I stick to the essence of my comments. Although I will make sure and keep my comments a bit more tame.


    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

    [ Parent ]
    Also
    I have seen comments that are MUCH worse. Like yesterday when we had the conversation regarding dildos or when someone kept using the word retards. It doesn't make up for my comment, but I thought I think its worth pointing out that we should all be a bit more careful before pressing post.

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

    [ Parent ]
    You're OK with me dude.
    Just better to keep it clean around here.

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    Since when does beating cancer
    make someone immune to political attacks?  Because if so, we clearly need to be running cancer survivors in every race.  "You cant tell me my political positions are wrong, I had breast cancer!'

    [ Parent ]
    It doesn't.
    But "Suck Jane Hamsher" is not a political attack.  It is a juvenile insult, which is especially out of line against someone who just beat cancer IMHO.  Actually, I'm not even sure what it means, but it seems insulting.

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    Well
    to be fair it was suppose to be "Suck it Jane Hamsher". Still a juvenile insult, but it makes more sense.  

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

    [ Parent ]
    Twitter followers = exactly 1400
    at 10:30 pm Eastern. So congrats.
    Although earlier this evening it was at 1401 followers, so sadly you also got de-friended by at least one...


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