| Been out of the loop the last few days and I'm just now getting around to talking about this. First, let me assure everyone, Marion Berry did not leave because he was in danger of losing-his health, long something that's been discussed among Democrats in the district, was the stated reason. And trust me, the last time I saw the guy at an event (in 2008) he looked like a mummy. It was time for him to retire long ago. Still, despite some his conservative leanings, he was a great congressman and everyone in the district, except the Republicans (who could never come up with a coherent reason to run against him), likes him personally and has good things to say about him-he will be missed here. |
| That said, I know this district looks competitive on the surface, but from where I'm standing on the ground I don't think it's going to end up that way. Republicans had one chance to make this race competitive, and that was to get state rep. Davey Carter in. Carter has said that he absolutely will not be running, so we can rejoice that this one is off the table-the other potentials all being third tier candidates.
Now there are a ton of names being thrown around on the Dem side-basically every state rep. and state sen. that's ever been in the district. None of them really thrill me, but by now it's no secret that I'm a lefty to lefties. Anyway, here are the names I know for sure-
Former state party chair Jason Willett has long wanted this seat. I don't know where he stands issue wise but I do know that he was a good party chair, though an asshole by reputation. He'd have the money to fund the race, but he came in a distant third when he ran for mayor of Jonesboro, the district's largest town and my base of operations.
Former state senator Tim Wooldridge, a very conservative fence post who ran against Bill Halter in the '06 primary. He did well in the district during the initial primary, but he was hurt big among African Americans when it came out that he had jokingly proposed a bill to bring back public hangings.
Chad Causey, Berry's cheif of staff, looks to run, apparently with Berry's endorsement, which will help big time, though I can't say I know much else about Causey.
Chris Thyer, the former state rep. of Jonesboro (long before I moved here), is definitely in. Don't know anything about him but I'm asking around.
And there are plenty of other names-I've heard every state legislator in the district mentioned and several former ones. I'll keep you guys posted as things develop. The only name that really interests me is our State Treasurer, Martha Shoffner (one of my absolute favorite politicians due to her competence and accessibility). She managed to win big in her race for Treasurer despite being underfunded because she excels at retail politics. However, with the state budget and the economy being in the straits they are, she'll probably run for reelection (if Berry had held out and retired next cycle I think she'd have been a shoe in though).
Two more things I want to say.
First, Dustin McDaniel was NEVER going to run for the House seat and everyone here new it. His name entering this was just a case of name recognition and nothing more. He wants to be Governor come '14, and he may well be the favorite for that race.
Secondly, and this is just an interesting side note, one of the most talked about Republicans, who's still third tier mind you, is Princella Smith, a self described moderate, African American, Republican active in the state party. Now her bio in and of itself is interesting enough, but the funny thing is that I actually went to high school with her and my dad and her dad were close friends when they played on the Wynne football team back in the day. How wild is all that? |
