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CO-Gov: Source Tells Political Wire That Ritter Will Drop Out (Update: It's Happening)

by: James L.

Tue Jan 05, 2010 at 8:47 PM EST


Taegan:

A source tells Political Wire that Colorado Gov. Bill Ritter (D) is ending his re-election campaign. A fundraiser scheduled for tonight was canceled and all campaign staff was sent home in the middle of the day.

If this does indeed turn out to be the case, this news is much more on the "John Cherry" end of the drop-out scale than it is on the Byron Dorgan side. While Ritter is the incumbent, his poll numbers have been flaccid all year, and he hasn't done himself any favors with the Democratic rank-and-file over the past four years with his borderline-hostile relationship with organized labor in the state. This could give Democrats the opportunity to start fresh and tap Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper for the race. If nothing else, a Hickenlooper candidacy would likely do more to excite the base than a Bill Ritter/Michael Bennet top-of-the-ticket pairing would accomplish.

UPDATE: Just a thought: the longer the Ritter campaign lets this story go unanswered, the greater the likelihood that it's true. Taegan updates that the Ritter campaign is not responding to emails, which is a pretty telling sign. And just now, Ambinder is apparently hearing the same news.

LATER UPDATE: A campaign source is telling the same thing to Hotline On Call.

LATE LOCAL UPDATE: A local ABC affiliate also confirms the news.

EVEN LATER UPDATE (David): Jennifer Duffy of the Cook Political Report tweets that her sources are saying that Andrew Romanoff, presently challenging Sen. Michael Bennet in a primary, is weighing a switch. Personally, I'd much rather have Hickenlooper.

RaceTracker Wiki: CO-Gov

James L. :: CO-Gov: Source Tells Political Wire That Ritter Will Drop Out (Update: It's Happening)
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I'm actually kind of happy about this...
Given that I though Hickenlooper should have been tapped for Senate, I think that this great news for Colorado Democrats. I'm not sure how Colorado redistricts, but I do recall that Perlmutter's district was redrawn by court after Dems and Repubs couldn't agree on a plan; therefore, I'm concluding that it's done by legislature. I think Hickenlooper will excite the base, and I think he will win.

NY-14, DC-AL (college) Distraught Mets fan

If Hickenlooper gets in, I think he wins
...and gooses Denver turnout -- in April, his approval ratings were a practically unbelievable 78% in metro Denver (and higher than that in the city itself):

http://www.denverpost.com/firs...

It still blows my mind that the Ritter/Hickenlooper feud led to Bennet getting tapped.


It still blows my mind
that in a year like 2006, the Colorado Democratic Party didn't find a better candidate for Governor.

[ Parent ]
Maybe it also solves the Senate problem.....
Hick/Romanoff? Although that's a very fricking Denver heavy ticket....

[ Parent ]
Good riddance
but I blame the Colorado Democrats for not finding a better Democrat in 2006.  There were several other Democrats who were both much better in policy and much better in politics who could have run (Hickenlooper, Fitzgerald, Romanoff, etc) for Governor in 2006 rather than a anti-choice, anti-labor conservative Democrat who is also an awful politician.  

And then we would not have gotten a weak appointment as Bennet either. I don't have too many gripes with Bennet as a senator, he seems to be a thoughtful guy, even if a bit too conservative for me.  But he sucks as a politician.


Any Colorados know how Hickenlooper would do against McInnis?
Alot has been said about Hickenloopers strength but anyone in the area know how well he would do against McInnis, the likely GOP nominee. McInnis used to represent CO-05, a GOP leaning district that John Salazar now hold, while Hickenlooper is the mayor of strongly Democratic Denvor. Who would have the advantage in such a match-up?

CO-03 not CO-05
And without polling, I'm not sure how Hickenlooper would do.  I'm guessing he'd kill McInnis in the 1st and 2nd CDs and do better than average for a Dem in the 7th and inner ring Denver Metro portions of the 6th.  He won't win the Sixth, but his business acumen could make him highly palatable to otherwise conservative suburbanites in the Denver Tech Center area.  How he'd play in rural areas of the state...I just don't know, but I don't think he'd do particularly well (but he might not have to).

30, male, Democratic, CO-01

[ Parent ]
silver lining of the Corzine loss
Maybe some other D incumbents will see the writing on the wall and get out.

Maybe we could get Michael Bennet to drop out and replace him with Hickenlooper
This would sort of have the same effect that replacing Dodd with Blumenthal would have. PPP polled former popular governor Bill Owens vs. Hickenlooper and this was the result
54% Hickenlooper
40% Owens
Meaning the Hickenlooper would crush Jane Norton and save the DSCC a lot of money.

Doubtful
Not when Bennet has raised so much cash. Best bet would be Hickenlooper for governor and that might save the senate seat by boosting Dem turnout. Romanoff possibly switching is another alternative.

[ Parent ]
While I'm not completely impressed with Michael Bennet
He is actually electible. Jane Norton will play all the way to the right going to all the crazy tea parties and 9-12 parties. On the other hand Michael Bennet has shown some very centrist views in the senate while at the same time being a support of the public option. This being the case, Michael Bennet could probably win a majority among Indies and 90% of dems and thus win. A Hicklenlooper landslide for the governor's race could also help carry Bennet to victory. This also helps Betsy Markey a lot!

[ Parent ]
Agree, agree, agree
Hickenlooper for Gov would solve A LOT of CO problems.

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

[ Parent ]
Romanoff has done us a favor challenging Bennet because...
...it's taught observers how bad a statewide candidate Romanoff is, and we now know we don't want him to run for anything.

For people who haven't paid attention, Romanoff isn't raising money, isn't campaigning as far as anyone can see, and is about as invisible as Creigh Deeds on a hot summer Northern Virginia day.

The primary "challenge" against Bennet has been shaping up to be anything BUT.

I really hope Hickenlooper is the Gov candidate, and Romanoff doesn't switch.  Our best-case is for Romanoff to drop out altogeter since so far the national campaign punditry has been fixated on the primary challenge as a much more serious one than it's been, meaning there's still been a narrative out there causing minor headaches that Bennet could lose the nomination.

43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


[ Parent ]
Romanoff is certainly campaigning
in the Denver area.  Lots of events spread around to the local activist community.  Now, I don't know if a "ramp-up-Denver" strategy is the right one for a relatively progressive (I haven't a clue why he ran to Bennet's right...a stupid, stupid, and insincere move based on his legislative record) Denver-based pol.

30, male, Democratic, CO-01

[ Parent ]
Great news
Dorgan is bad for sure, but Cherry and Ritter are excellent dropouts (too bad Boswell didn't too).

Hickenlooper is immensely popular, but had no place to go, now he does, and the mountain west could have a popular, very good national Democratic voice.

This would move CO Gov to one of the most important races in the country in 2010 (and help Bennet too).


It's amazing that pundits are saying this is a bad thing
Sabato tweeted "Now Political Wire saying Gov. Bill Ritter (D-CO) won't run for 2nd term. Another big GOP opening. Ritter, Dorgan, Cherry all out in one day" while PoliticsNation (AKA Reed Wilson) tweeted "CO Gov. Ritter (D) won't run for a second term. http://is.gd/5Ns2N Wow, this turned into a really bad day for Dems"

Obviously Dorgan was a huge blow but how is replacing Cherry and Ritter, who are trailing in the polls, with a much better candidate a bad thing?  Yes, it would have been better if they had done this much sooner but in both states we have plenty of quality candidates.  It would be like arguing in 2008 that the GOP would have been in so much better shape if Bush could run for a third term and did.

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



They go with whatever fits the narrative
Though I suppose its only good if better replacements can be found.

[ Parent ]
Looking at their numbers it shouldn't be too hard
Besides we have a fairly deep bench in Michigan and Colorado.  At the very least we should find someone better, even if s/he doesn't set the world on fire.

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
Bingo on both points......
They jump on the narrative.

And we don't have "better replacements" until we actually have them.

In Michigan, it's not clear who if anyone really is better, even if Cherry was a dead man walking.

43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


[ Parent ]
Yeah it does fit perfectly with the narrative
Still I guess I expected more from Wilson and Sabato.  Silly me...

This at least increases our chances of nominating better candidates.  Obviously if we don't we're screwed but we looked it bad shape before.  Better to get a chance to win with someone new.

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
Now if only we could get Rory Reid to drop out and let Oscar Goodman run
I truly believe that only reason Goodman is considering running as an independent is because Rory Reid won't give up the democratic nomination. If Rory drops out, Goodman would crush Sandoval.

[ Parent ]
Why doesn't Goodman just run against Rory Reid.
Considering Reids poor numbers in the general, Goodman I suspect would crush him in the Democratic primary.

[ Parent ]
Since Harry Reid plans to "vaporize his opponents next year"
Oscar Goodman probably expects Rory Reid would be equally nasty and that it isn't worth it for him. Many politicians do not like nasty campaigns and even though they are likely to win they do not feel like putting themselves and their families through that.

[ Parent ]
Well if he runs as an indy he'll face the Vaporizer anyway
I really think, Reid machine or no, the nods Goodman's for the taking and the fact he's not taking it has more to do with him being a bit out there than anything.  

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
With any other politician I'd agree but Goodman's a very unconventional guy


21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
It would be a contrast - Reid and Goodman on the same ticket
Reid, the man who risked his life to fight the mob

and

Goodman, the (former) mouthpiece of the mob in Vegas....


[ Parent ]
Which raises a question
Why do we (and Las Vegas) like Goodman?

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

[ Parent ]
I've wondered that.
I looked up Goodman after someone here talked him up and thought, "You've got to be kidding."

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
I think of Goodman as "our rogue", but....
there are these frightening bits from Wikipedia (fwiw)

On November 3, 2005, Mayor Goodman suggested that those who deface freeways with graffiti should have their thumbs cut off on television.

snip
Goodman also suggested that whippings or canings should be brought back for children who get into trouble.

Nevertheless, such nutty statements can endear a politician to a "wild west" voting population.

OTOH, there's this too

Goodman had briefly entertained challenging Presidential son Jack Carter for the Democratic nomination to run against incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John Ensign in 2006.


[ Parent ]
Best Mayor of Las Vegas in the Last 50 Years, Right?
You guys have seen his poker chip business cards, right? They. Are. Awesome.

I've met him. In my opinion, he's a showy, ballsy, truth-telling, pragmatically progressive, drunken, super-charismatic hot mess headliner of a politician. And I say that with love and respect and I would vote for him if I lived in Vegas.

He's like the Dos Equis' "Most Interesting Man In the World" mixed with your local "Chamber of Commerce" guy supercharged by Las Vegas and with an appropriately shady background to boot. Vegas kinda needs that in its mayor, especially now in these dark hours. But!

As much as I love the guy as Mayor of Las Vegas, I'm not sure he'd be a great governor--if Nevada as a whole would be okay with that image. Perhaps a straight-laced Mormon type (the Reids) will play better in the smaller 2010 electorate?

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


[ Parent ]
It would be great if Oscar ran for governor as a democrat
while he may be a little unconvential, he is electible and people love him. Nevada has not been to hot on their democratic politicians (ex. Harry Reid) and it would be nice for Nevada democrats to have a politician with some personality. Nevada really has gone sour on Harry Reid and even if he manages to vaporize his opponents next year Nevada will still remain sour on him. I don't want Harry Reid to bring down the democratic party in Nevada and Oscar Goodman is just the thing we need to excite Democrats in that state.

[ Parent ]
Yeah, gaffe-inator to the max
If I wasn't clear on that part above--he's bound to be gaffey as hell on the campaign trail. So there's that, too. That's one thing when you're mayor of Vegas that is much less okay when you're running a state, it seems. His heart's in the right place he's just too...off the cuff?

[say in Dos Equis man voice]
I don't know him well, but from what I know, I'd say that he's dangerous as dynamite and one hell of a politician.

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


[ Parent ]
Good news to me.
Maybe we can get other crappy and/or corrupt and/or baseless candidates to drop out and save ourselves some headaches.  That means Dodd, possibly some Reids, Lincoln, etc.  Although he doesn't fit into any of those categories (maybe the baseless one), I'd like to see Thurbert Baker drop out, too, and run for Lt. Governor or something.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

I like where you are going with this
as for Thurbert Baker, since he wants to run for higher office, switch the to senate campaign and try to unseat Isakson. His approvals have been around the same as Richard Burr's.

[ Parent ]
But the question is, does Baker wanna run for Senate?
I assume he would prefer the govenorship. Maybe if there are more polls showing him doing well he would switch but I dont know.

[ Parent ]
Whatever he does he will not win the pirmary for governor
Thats a fact!

[ Parent ]
Kanjorski would be a major help to us if he bailed


21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
Throw out Dan Seal and Ed Case as well


[ Parent ]
Oh yeah, Case is a huge throw out
Seals isn't election-Kryptonite as much but hopefully he won't be renominated.  

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
It's looking likely that Seals will
The local activists in the 10th are still enthralled with him for some reason...

[ Parent ]
We can hope that a high turn-out primary will bring less-activist voters out
Not impossible considering there's a pretty big primary for GOV and somewhat big primary for Senate to turn out less interested voters who may be less enthralled.

But I don't know an incredible lot about Seal's 2008 run.  Was it more him being a bad candidate or the district really liking Kirk that lost Seals the race?

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
Both
Kirk raised the most money out of any Congressional Republican and was able to define himself as a moderate despite Seals' attempts to make him out to be a Bush ally. However, Seals lost votes in the Eastern, more liberal parts of the district that voted for him in 2006--not good for a repeat campaign. A lot of grassroots activists still love him though--out of loyalty or some other reason I don't understand.

[ Parent ]
Chris Dodd to the white courtesy phone


Looks like you're getting your wish
tomorrow.  :o

[ Parent ]
Good
Let's get this out of the way and then pass a healthcare bill.  

[ Parent ]
Bad short-term, good long-term
Bad short-term, because this, coupled with the Dorgan annoucement, probably won't portray Dems in the strongest light over the coming days. Good long-term, because Ritter would've been a supremely-mediocre nominee.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

Predictions for MI-GOV
Virg Bernero will hopefully run and get the nomination.
If Pete Hoekstra wins the GOP primary (which looks more and more likely) this race is lean D
56% Bernero
42% Hoekstra
If Mike Cox wins the primary, the race is a tossup but Bernero will barely pull it out because usually the tightest of races in Michigan have gone for dems even in the most neutral or GOP leaning years (Granholm in 2002 and Stabenow in 2000).
50% Bernero
48% Cox
If anyone else wins the GOP primary (unlikely) Likely D
58% Bernero
40% Generic Dem

Go Virg!


I meant Generic R on the last one


[ Parent ]
What makes Bernero such an excellent candidate?
I've heard he's pretty charismatic but that's about it.  Obviously that's important but could you say a little more about why he'll wipe the floor of the GOP?

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
Here's the deal with Virg
He would wipe the floor with any candidate other than Cox who he would probably narrowly beat one or two percent.
As mayor he has been extremely popular working on many sucessful projects including when he partnered with the East Lansing Mayor to launch the area's first regional public-private economic development initiative, LEAP (Lansing Economic Area Partnership). Bernero's economic intelligence would be extremely appealing to independents who have gone sour due to the horrible economy in Michigan. His liberal views would be very appealing to progressives. Not to mention he has zero ties to Governor Granholm. You can check him out in this clip I've been displaying a lot on this site.


[ Parent ]
What do people think of Arnold
For Interior and Salazar for Governor?

Arnold Schwarzenegger?
Are you serious? What am I missing here?

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
That was the rumor
But not so much since he came out against HCR in his State of the State address. Though Salazar is staying mum and the WH is fine with him running.

[ Parent ]
Problem is
California doesn't have a Lt. Governor at this time. Arnold's nomination to replace Garamendi, Abel Maldonado, is getting pushback from the Dems in the legislature.

[ Parent ]

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